Kris Dunn v2 Props — San Antonio Spurs vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

Kris Dunn

LAC · SG

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 2.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 7.5

65%

PTS

UNDER 4.5

60%

REB

UNDER 3.5

55%

PRA

UNDER 11.5

60%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

85%

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Anthony Edwards	4	24	42%	-11.4%	medium
Luka Dončić	4	22	57%	-1.5%	medium
Russell Westbrook	3	14	40%	-8.2%	medium
Amen Thompson	4	12	83%	+35.1%	medium
Tyrese Maxey	2	12	60%	+1.8%	low

Season eFG%: 48.2% — green = player shoots better vs this defender, red = worse

vs SAS Defenders

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
De'Aaron Fox	3	8	17	70%	80%
Devin Vassell	3	7	7	50%	75%
Stephon Castle	3	4	5	40%	40%
Julian Champagnie	3	3	2	20%	20%
Dylan Harper	2	2	7	67%	83%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Actual	Result
Kris Dunn▼	Assists	2.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	4	✓
Kris Dunn▼	P+A	7.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	7	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Points	4.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	3	✓
Kris Dunn▼	Rebounds	3.5	UNDER	55%MEDIUM	1/2	1	✓
Kris Dunn▼	PRA	11.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	8	✓
Kris Dunn▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PTS5.5OVER7%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%No material changes▼

P+A10UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

REB3.5OVER10%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Odds moved materially▼

AST3.5OVER14%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

PRA13.5UNDER5%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%Line moved +1.0; Value edge changed +0.049; Odds moved materially▼

P+R10OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼

R+A7.5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

3PM0.5OVER12%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line nudged -0.5▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

assistsOVER 2.570%HIGH

Without Beal: 3.0 APG in 23.6 MPG, 28 MPG proj, 5 games clear 2.5

paUNDER 7.565%MEDIUM

Without Beal: 4.4 PPG + 3.0 APG = 7.4, 28 MPG proj, 2 of 5 games clear 7.5

pointsUNDER 4.560%MEDIUM

Without Beal: 4.4 PPG, 28 MPG proj, 2 of 5 games clear 4.5, blowout risk LOW

reboundsUNDER 3.555%MEDIUM

Without Beal: 2.6 RPG, 28 MPG proj, 1 of 5 games clear 3.5, SAS allows 42.13 RPG

praUNDER 11.560%MEDIUM

Without Beal: 4.4 + 2.6 + 3.0 = 10.0, 28 MPG proj, 1 of 5 games clear 11.5

threesUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Without Beal: 0.6 3PM, 28 MPG proj, 2 of 5 games clear 0.5, UNDER bias 69% hit rate