DeMar DeRozan v2 Props — New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

AI Model:

DeMar DeRozan▲

SAC · SF

PPG

18.6

RPG

3.0

APG

4.1

L5 PPG

20.0

Last 10 GamesAST

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG+1.4

18.6

20.0

RPG0.0

3.0

APG+2.1

4.1

6.2

SPG-1.0

1.0

0.0

BPG-0.1

0.3

0.2

OVER 4.5 AST

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

4.5

CHA

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs CHA: 6 ast

LAC

2026-03-14

2026-03-14 vs LAC: 7 ast

UTA

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs UTA: 11 ast

SAS

2026-03-17

2026-03-17 vs SAS: 1 ast

PHI

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs PHI: 5 ast

BKN

2026-03-22

2026-03-22 vs BKN: 8 ast

CHA

2026-03-24

2026-03-24 vs CHA: 5 ast

ORL

2026-03-26

2026-03-26 vs ORL: 11 ast

ATL

2026-03-28

2026-03-28 vs ATL: 3 ast

TOR

2026-04-01

2026-04-01 vs TOR: 4 ast

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

AST

OVER 4.5

70%

PTS

UNDER 19.5

75%

REB

OVER 2.5

65%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

85%

R+A

UNDER 7.5

70%

P+A

UNDER 24.5

72%

P+R

UNDER 22.5

68%

PRA

UNDER 27.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

90%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.0

18.8

RPG

2.4

2.5

APG

4.6

5.5

vs NOP (H2H)14 games

PPG

22.4

RPG

3.9

APG

5.7

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jabari Smith Jr.	4	23	32%	-21.1%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	4	20	59%	+4.8%	medium
Jaylen Wells	4	15	96%	+27.2%	medium
Royce O'Neale	4	15	33%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
DeMar DeRozan▼	Assists	4.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	70%	5	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	40%	14	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	Rebounds	2.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	2	✗
DeMar DeRozan▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—	70%	0	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	R+A	7.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	40%	7	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	P+A	24.5	UNDER	72%HIGH	2/2	40%	19	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	P+R	22.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	16	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	PRA	27.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	40%	21	✓
DeMar DeRozan▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	—	80%	0	✓

ML Scout Analysis

PRA21OVER8%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

PTS15.5UNDER13%gbt_pointsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼

REB2OVER18%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼

P+R20UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

P+A23UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼

AST5OVER1%gbt_assistsAvoid (5/20)UNDER 4x7/2035%▼

FTM4.5UNDER19%gbtAvoid (5/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼

R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (5/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

FTA5UNDER12%gbtAvoid (4/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Saddiq Bey	3	10	7	38%	44%
Micah Peavy	2	4	2	0%	0%
Bryce McGowens	2	3	0	0%	0%
Trey Murphy III	3	2	5	67%	83%
Herbert Jones	3	2	0	0%	0%

assistsOVER 4.570%HIGH

Coach projects 28min, high volatility, last 5 avg 6.2 APG, value edge 16.2%

pointsUNDER 19.575%HIGH

Sharp line down 1.0, season avg 18.6, last 5 avg 20.0, blowout risk caps

reboundsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM

Season avg 3.0, last 5 avg 3.0, 28min proj, but high volatility limits confidence

threesUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Season avg 0.61, last 5 avg 0.4, 3 of 5 recent games under, UNDER bias 69%

raUNDER 7.570%HIGH

Reb+Ast proj 6.2+3.0=9.2 but high variance, combo props risky, 2 of 5 recent games under

paUNDER 24.572%HIGH

Pts+Ast proj 20.0+6.2=26.2 but line high, blowout risk reduces minutes, sharp signal down

prUNDER 22.568%MEDIUM

Pts+Reb proj 20.0+3.0=23.0, close to line, high volatility, 3 of 5 recent games under

praUNDER 27.565%MEDIUM

PRA proj 20.0+3.0+6.2=29.2 but combo high variance, blowout risk, 2 of 5 recent games under

blocksUNDER 0.590%HIGH

Season avg 0.3, last 5 avg 0.2, 0 blocks in 4 of 5 recent games, UNDER bias 71.4%

timelineOVER 4.5 AST

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

OVER 4.5 AST