Trey Murphy III v2 Props — New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

AI Model:

Trey Murphy III▼

NOP · SG

PPG

21.6

RPG

5.7

APG

3.8

L5 PPG

19.0

Last 10 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-2.6

21.6

19.0

RPG+0.7

5.7

6.4

APG-1.6

3.8

2.2

SPG-0.1

1.5

1.4

BPG+0.3

0.3

0.6

UNDER 32.5 PTS

Last 10 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

UNDER

Streak Type

32.5

PHX

2026-03-06

2026-03-06 vs PHX: 22 pts

WAS

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs WAS: 24 pts

TOR

2026-03-11

2026-03-11 vs TOR: 28 pts

HOU

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs HOU: 14 pts

DAL

2026-03-16

2026-03-16 vs DAL: 17 pts

LAC

2026-03-18

2026-03-18 vs LAC: 23 pts

LAC

2026-03-19

2026-03-19 vs LAC: 27 pts

CLE

2026-03-21

2026-03-21 vs CLE: 10 pts

NYK

2026-03-24

2026-03-24 vs NYK: 16 pts

POR

2026-04-02

2026-04-02 vs POR: 19 pts

Over 32.5

Under 32.5

Last 10 games

Prop Confidence

PRA

UNDER 32.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 28.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 26.5

80%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

85%

R+A

UNDER 10.5

75%

3PM

UNDER 3.5

70%

PTS

UNDER 19.5

80%

STL

OVER 1.5

60%

REB

UNDER 5.5

70%

AST

UNDER 3.5

65%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

19.7

22.3

RPG

4.9

5.5

APG

4.0

3.9

vs SAC (H2H)16 games

PPG

16.1

RPG

3.7

APG

3.6

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaylen Wells	4	15	58%	+3.0%	medium
Devin Vassell	4	14	35%	-23.9%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	14	73%	+7.5%	medium
Jaden McDaniels	3	14	44%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Trey Murphy III▼	PRA	32.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	60%	21	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	P+R	28.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	60%	17	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	P+A	26.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	60%	17	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—	60%	2	✗
Trey Murphy III▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2	70%	8	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	3PM	3.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	40%	1	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	Points	19.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	50%	13	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2	40%	0	✗
Trey Murphy III▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	30%	4	✓
Trey Murphy III▼	Assists	3.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	50%	4	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PRA30.5OVER7%gbt_praDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

P+R27OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼

PTS21UNDER6%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%▼

REB6UNDER2%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)11/2055%▼

P+A25.5UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

AST4UNDER16%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%▼

3PM4UNDER38%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

FTM2.5UNDER25%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼

FTA2.5UNDER9%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼

STL1UNDER41%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼

3PA9UNDER9%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Nique Clifford	3	9	4	25%	25%
Russell Westbrook	2	6	9	44%	50%
Devin Carter	2	4	3	50%	75%
DeMar DeRozan	3	4	4	33%	33%
Daeqwon Plowden	3	3	2	33%	33%

praUNDER 32.570%HIGH

Season avg 27.4, H2H low 19.8, blowout risk caps min

prUNDER 28.575%HIGH

Season avg 27.3, H2H low 19.8, 3 of 5 recent games under

paUNDER 26.580%HIGH

Season avg 25.4, H2H low 19.7, sharp line down 4.0

blocksUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Season avg 0.3, last 5 avg 0.6, 3 of 5 games under

raUNDER 10.575%HIGH

Season avg 9.5, H2H low 7.2, blowout risk reduces reb

threesUNDER 3.570%HIGH

Season avg 3.3, last 5 avg 3.2, 3 of 5 games under

pointsUNDER 19.580%HIGH

Season avg 21.7, last 5 avg 19.0, sharp line down 4.0

stealsOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

Season avg 1.5, last 5 avg 1.4, SAC high turnovers

reboundsUNDER 5.570%HIGH

Season avg 5.7, H2H low 3.7, blowout risk caps min

assistsUNDER 3.565%MEDIUM

Season avg 3.8, last 5 avg 3.6, 3 of 5 games under

timelineUNDER 32.5 PTS

Defensive Matchup Profile

Prop Analysis

ML Scout Analysis

UNDER 32.5 PTS