Jake LaRavia v2 Props — Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks

AI Model:

Jake LaRavia

LAL ·

Prop Confidence

AST

UNDER 2.5

85%

PTS

UNDER 12.5

80%

REB

UNDER 5.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 21.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 15.5

75%

P+R

UNDER 17.5

70%

R+A

UNDER 8.5

65%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

85%

STL

UNDER 1.5

60%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

8.3

RPG

3.5

4.3

APG

1.7

1.9

vs DAL (H2H)10 games

PPG

5.1

RPG

2.3

APG

1.1

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Kawhi Leonard	4	15	50%	-4.9%	medium
Kon Knueppel	2	10	100%	+20.9%	low
Trey Murphy III	3	9	88%	+29.2%	medium
Devin Vassell	3	8	30%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Actual	Result
Jake LaRavia▼	Assists	2.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2	1	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	Points	12.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2	14	✗
Jake LaRavia▼	Rebounds	5.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2	5	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	—	1	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	PRA	21.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	20	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	P+A	15.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2	15	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	P+R	17.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2	19	✗
Jake LaRavia▼	R+A	8.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	1/2	6	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—	0	✓
Jake LaRavia▼	Steals	1.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2	2	✗

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER38%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)3/2015%+35.5% edgeValue edge changed +0.054; Odds moved materially▼

REB5.5UNDER8%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)5/2025%+17.5% edgeLine moved +1.0; Value edge changed +0.034; Odds moved materially▼

P+R10UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼

PRA19.5UNDER35%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)3/2015%+31.3% edgeConfidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼

AST2.5UNDER58%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 12x4/2020%+26.3% edgeNo material changes▼

P+A7.5UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼

R+A5OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Naji Marshall	3	5	9	57%	64%
Brandon Williams	3	5	7	50%	63%
Max Christie	3	4	8	40%	40%
Cooper Flagg	2	3	4	50%	50%
P.J. Washington	3	2	0	0%	0%

assistsUNDER 2.585%HIGH

Season avg 1.78, recent 0.9, value edge 29%

pointsUNDER 12.580%HIGH

Season avg 8.3, recent 5.4, H2H 5.1, value edge 27%

reboundsUNDER 5.570%HIGH

Season avg 3.88, recent 4.0, 18 min proj

threesUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Season avg 0.93, recent 0.5, 69% UNDER hit rate

praUNDER 21.575%HIGH

Pts+Reb+Ast avg 14.0, line 21.5 too high

paUNDER 15.575%HIGH

Pts+Ast avg 10.1, line 15.5 too high

prUNDER 17.570%HIGH

Pts+Reb avg 12.2, line 17.5 too high

raUNDER 8.565%MEDIUM

Reb+Ast avg 5.7, line 8.5 too high

blocksUNDER 0.585%HIGH

71% UNDER hit rate, season avg 0.3

stealsUNDER 1.560%MEDIUM

Season avg 1.3, recent 2.0, 56% OVER hit rate