AI Model:
LaMelo Ball
CHA ·
Prop Confidence
AST
UNDER 6.5
70%
3PM
UNDER 3.5
80%
PTS
UNDER 20.5
75%
P+A
UNDER 27.5
70%
PRA
UNDER 31.5
72%
R+A
UNDER 11.5
68%
REB
UNDER 4.5
70%
P+R
UNDER 25
72%
STL
OVER 0.5
60%
BLK
UNDER 0.5
85%
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart | 3 | 15 | 80% | +19.5% | medium |
| Immanuel Quickley | 4 | 13 | 68% | +14.0% | medium |
| Davion Mitchell | 3 | 11 | 83% | +26.2% | medium |
| Ben Sheppard | 4 | 11 | 63% | +9.5% | medium |
| Jaylen Wells | 2 | 9 | 44% | -3.0% | low |
Season eFG%: 40.5% — green = player shoots better vs this defender, red = worse
vs BOS Defenders
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walsh | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 2 | 6 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Hugo González | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Sam Hauser | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jayson Tatum | 1 | 1 | 5 | 50% | 50% |
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LaMelo Ball▼ | Assists | 6.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | 3PM | 3.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | Points | 20.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | P+A | 27.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | PRA | 31.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | R+A | 11.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | P+R | 25 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | Steals | 0.5 | OVER | 60%MEDIUM | 2/2 |
LaMelo Ball▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | — |
ML Scout Analysis
3PM3.5OVER14%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x13/2065%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Line moved -1.0; Odds moved materially▼
STL0.5OVER7%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x16/2080%+16.0% edge▼
PTS19.5UNDER22%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
AST6.5UNDER11%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 4x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Odds moved materially▼
REB4.5UNDER16%logisticAvoid (7/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
PRA33.5UNDER26%logisticAvoid (7/20)6/2030%+16.5% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Line moved +2.0; Value edge shifted +0.154▼
P+R25.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)8/2040%▼
P+A27.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)9/2045%▼
R+A11.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (6/20)9/2045%▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.