Kawhi Leonard v2 Props — Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

AI Model:

Kawhi Leonard

LAC ·

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 28.5

85%

REB

UNDER 6.5

70%

AST

OVER 3.5

65%

3PM

UNDER 2.5

75%

STL

OVER 1.5

60%

PRA

UNDER 39.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 36.5

75%

P+A

UNDER 32.5

80%

R+A

UNDER 10.5

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

90%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

30.9

25.1

RPG

6.2

6.6

APG

3.6

vs DAL (H2H)12 games

PPG

25.0

RPG

6.6

APG

4.2

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jaden McDaniels	3	18	67%	+16.2%	medium
Kevin Durant	3	14	31%	-25.5%	medium
Toumani Camara	3	13	50%	-14.1%	medium
Stephon Castle	2	13	63%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML
Kawhi Leonard▼	Points	28.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	Rebounds	6.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	Assists	3.5	OVER	65%MEDIUM	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	3PM	2.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	60%MEDIUM	1/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	PRA	39.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	P+R	36.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	P+A	32.5	UNDER	80%HIGH	2/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	R+A	10.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2
Kawhi Leonard▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	90%HIGH	—

ML Scout Analysis

AST3.5OVER8%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼

R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%▼

PTS28.5UNDER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 7x8/2040%+9.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

REB6.5UNDER21%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%+5.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

PRA41.5UNDER23%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x5/2025%+17.5% edge▼

P+R34.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼

P+A32UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x6/2030%▼

3PM2.5UNDER1%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼

STL1.5UNDER31%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)12/2060%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Cooper Flagg	2	5	6	33%	33%
Naji Marshall	1	2	5	67%	83%
Max Christie	1	1	3	100%	150%
Ryan Nembhard	1	1	0	0%	0%
Klay Thompson	1	1	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 28.585%HIGH

31min proj, value edge 14.8%, season avg 28.05, home split 30.87 but recent 26.6, blowout risk caps

reboundsUNDER 6.570%HIGH

31min proj, season avg 6.36, recent 6.4, 3/5 last games under, value edge 3.7% UNDER

assistsOVER 3.565%MEDIUM

31min proj, H2H 4.17 APG, value edge 2.9% OVER, but recent 2.8, 2/5 last games over

threesUNDER 2.575%HIGH

31min proj, season avg 2.62, recent 2.8, value edge -1.1% UNDER, threes UNDER 69% hit rate

stealsOVER 1.560%MEDIUM

Stocks season 2.36, recent 1.9, steals OVER 55.8% hit rate, but low confidence due to data

praUNDER 39.570%HIGH

Projected 28.5+6.5+3.5=38.5, blowout risk reduces minutes, combo prop high variance, value edge UNDER

prUNDER 36.575%HIGH

Projected 28.5+6.5=35.0, season avg 34.41, recent 33.0, blowout risk caps minutes

paUNDER 32.580%HIGH

Projected 28.5+3.5=32.0, season avg 31.64, recent 29.4, value edge UNDER, blowout risk

raUNDER 10.570%HIGH

Projected 6.5+3.5=10.0, season avg 9.95, recent 9.2, combo prop high variance, blowout risk

blocksUNDER 0.590%HIGH

Blocks UNDER 71.4% hit rate, season stocks 2.36 includes steals, low block projection