AI Model:
Aaron Gordon
DEN ·
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 15.5
70%
AST
UNDER 2.5
85%
P+A
UNDER 18.5
80%
PRA
UNDER 24.5
75%
R+A
UNDER 8.5
85%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
95%
P+R
UNDER 22.5
75%
REB
UNDER 5.5
85%
BLK
UNDER 0.5
95%
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 12 | 53% | -0.3% | low |
| Alex Sarr | 2 | 11 | 42% | -8.6% | low |
| Zion Williamson | 2 | 11 | 33% | -17.0% | low |
| Julius Randle | 2 | 10 | 43% | -7.4% | low |
| Jimmy Butler III | 2 |
Season eFG%: 50.3% — green = player shoots better vs this defender, red = worse
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aaron Gordon▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 1/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | P+A | 18.5 | UNDER | 80%HIGH | 1/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | PRA | 24.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | R+A | 8.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 2/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 95%HIGH | 2/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | P+R | 22.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 85%HIGH | 2/2 |
Aaron Gordon▼ | Blocks | 0.5 | UNDER | 95%HIGH | — |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS15.5OVER6%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Value edge changed +0.041▼
AST2.5OVER34%logisticDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x13/2065%+16.2% edgeOdds moved materially▼
PRA24.5OVER5%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
R+A9UNDER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%▼
P+R21OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
P+A18OVER0%logisticDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
3PM1.5OVER8%logisticWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted -0.088; Odds moved materially▼
REB6.5OVER5%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved +1.0; Value edge shifted -0.166▼
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.