Walter Clayton Jr. v2 Props — Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

AI Model:

Walter Clayton Jr.

MEM ·

Prop Confidence

AST

UNDER 6.5

70%

PTS

UNDER 11.5

65%

P+A

UNDER 18.5

70%

P+R

UNDER 14.5

65%

PRA

UNDER 21.5

70%

REB

UNDER 2.5

60%

R+A

UNDER 9.5

65%

3PM

UNDER 1.5

75%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

85%

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Ryan Nembhard	4	9	58%	+11.9%	medium
Payton Pritchard	3	8	42%	-4.8%	medium
Dylan Harper	4	6	75%	+36.9%	medium
Aaron Holiday	3	6	60%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Assists	6.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Points	11.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	P+A	18.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	1/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	P+R	14.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	PRA	21.5	UNDER	70%HIGH	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Rebounds	2.5	UNDER	60%MEDIUM	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	R+A	9.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	3PM	1.5	UNDER	75%HIGH	1/2
Walter Clayton Jr.▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—

ML Scout Analysis

PTS11.5UNDER11%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%+25.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Odds moved materially; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

PRA21.5UNDER6%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+19.4% edgeScorecard changed -2.0▼

AST6.5UNDER8%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%+11.2% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

REB2.5UNDER27%logisticAvoid (7/20)6/2030%+19.3% edgeScorecard changed -2.0▼

R+A7.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+A15OVER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x11/2055%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

P+R11.5UNDER0%logisticAvoid (6/20)9/2045%Scorecard changed -3.0▼

3PM1.5OVER7%logisticAvoid (3/20)OVER 3x8/2040%Value edge changed -0.042; Odds moved materially; Scorecard changed -3.0▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Tim Hardaway Jr.	2	3	0	0%	0%
Bruce Brown	2	3	0	0%	0%
Jalen Pickett	1	2	0	0%	0%
Hunter Tyson	1	1	0	0%	0%
Jamal Murray	2	1	2	50%	50%

assistsUNDER 6.570%HIGH

Coach projects 25 min, blowout risk HIGH, without Spencer splits show 5.0 APG, line above season avg

pointsUNDER 11.565%MEDIUM

Coach projects 25 min, blowout risk HIGH, without Spencer splits 13.5 PPG but minutes capped, line near avg

paUNDER 18.570%HIGH

Combined prop high variance, blowout reduces minutes, without Spencer splits 18.5 PA, line at avg with downside

prUNDER 14.565%MEDIUM

Rebounds low at 2.2 RPG without Aldama, blowout caps points, line above without splits 13.6 PR

praUNDER 21.570%HIGH

High blowout risk reduces all stats, without Spencer splits 18.5 PRA, line above avg with minutes cap

reboundsUNDER 2.560%MEDIUM

Without Aldama splits 2.2 RPG, blowout reduces minutes, line at avg but low confidence due to volatility

raUNDER 9.565%MEDIUM

Rebounds low, assists capped by blowout, without Spencer splits 8.0 RA, line above with minutes risk

threesUNDER 1.575%HIGH

Without Spencer splits 2.5 3PM but blowout caps shots, line at avg, historical UNDER edge 69%

blocksUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Without splits 0.2 BPG, blowout reduces minutes, line above avg, historical UNDER edge 71.4%