Amen Thompson v2 Props — Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets

AI Model:

Amen Thompson

HOU ·

Prop Confidence

PTS

OVER 17.5

80%

REB

OVER 7.5

70%

3PM

UNDER 0.5

95%

AST

OVER 5.5

75%

R+A

OVER 12.5

70%

PRA

OVER 30.5

75%

P+A

OVER 23.5

70%

BLK

UNDER 0.5

85%

STL

OVER 1.5

55%

P+R

OVER 25.5

70%

Home vs Away

Home

Away

PPG

18.9

17.6

RPG

7.3

8.3

APG

5.2

5.4

vs LAL (H2H)8 games

PPG

18.4

RPG

8.8

APG

5.0

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Jamal Murray	4	21	50%	-13.1%	medium
De'Aaron Fox	3	19	60%	-3.1%	medium
Austin Reaves	3	15	28%	-30.9%	medium
Jalen Brunson	2	15	11%

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML
Amen Thompson▼	Points	17.5	OVER	80%HIGH	2/2
Amen Thompson▼	Rebounds	7.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2
Amen Thompson▼	3PM	0.5	UNDER	95%HIGH	—
Amen Thompson▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2
Amen Thompson▼	R+A	12.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2
Amen Thompson▼	PRA	30.5	OVER	75%HIGH	2/2
Amen Thompson▼	P+A	23.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2
Amen Thompson▼	Blocks	0.5	UNDER	85%HIGH	—
Amen Thompson▼	Steals	1.5	OVER	55%MEDIUM	1/2
Amen Thompson▼	P+R	25.5	OVER	70%HIGH	1/2

ML Scout Analysis

PTS17.5OVER21%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x13/2065%+11.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.289▼

PRA30.5OVER3%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼

P+A23.5UNDER69%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 3x14/2070%▼

AST5.5OVER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼

STL1.5UNDER22%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼

R+A13.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼

REB7.5UNDER1%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼

P+R25.5UNDER69%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Austin Reaves	3	15	5	22%	28%
Marcus Smart	5	14	16	63%	88%
Luke Kennard	4	11	15	55%	68%
Luka Dončić	3	11	7	27%	32%
Rui Hachimura	5	6	5	67%	83%

pointsOVER 17.580%HIGH

VanVleet out boosts usage; 22.6 PPG without him

reboundsOVER 7.570%HIGH

Season avg 7.8; minus Adams opens boards

threesUNDER 0.595%HIGH

Season mean 0.32; recent 0; rarely shoots threes

assistsOVER 5.575%HIGH

Without FVV avg 7.0 APG; primary ball handler

raOVER 12.570%HIGH

Without FVV avg 30.0 P+R; line 12.5 very low

praOVER 30.575%HIGH

Without FVV avg 37.0 P+R+A; strong edge

paOVER 23.570%HIGH

Without FVV avg 29.6 P+A; line beatable

blocksUNDER 0.585%HIGH

Blocks UNDER 71.4% hit rate; season mean low

stealsOVER 1.555%MEDIUM

Without FVV avg 2.4 steals; slight edge

prOVER 25.570%HIGH

Without FVV avg 30.0 P+R; line 25.5 beatable