PG
Brandon Williams▼
DAL · PG
PPG
12.9
RPG
2.9
APG
3.8
L5 PPG
13.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+0.1
12.9
13.0
RPG+0.1
2.9
3.0
APG0.0
3.8
3.8
UNDER 14.5 PTS
Last 5 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
14.5
16
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 16 pts
13
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 13 pts
12
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 12 pts
12
CLE
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CLE: 12 pts
12
CLE
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs CLE: 12 pts
Over 14.5
Under 14.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 14.5
72%
AST
UNDER 4.5
68%
REB
OVER 3.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)7 games
PPG
4.9
RPG
1.7
APG
4.4
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard | 4 | 10 | 86% | +24.6% | medium |
| Jaylen Wells | 3 | 10 | 14% | -32.5% | medium |
| Gabe Vincent | 3 | 9 | 79% | +10.3% | medium |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 4 | 8 | 64% |
Williams Faces Tough Matchup in New Orleans with Limited Scoring History vs. Pelicans
Brandon Williams enters this contest on the back of a back-to-back, coming off a down-trend season marked by inconsistent scoring. Historically against New Orleans, Williams has struggled significantly, averaging just 4.9 PPG on 16.3 MPG across 7 matchups—well below his season 12.9 PPG average. The Pelicans' defense rates 119.84, and while they suppress three-pointers at -1.077, Williams will face primary defender Jeremiah Fears, who has held opponents to 40% FG in limited matchup time.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.0(↓ from 12.9)
APG
3.8(→ from 3.8)
RPG
3.0(→ from 2.9)
Key Matchup
Jeremiah Fears appears to be the primary defensive assignment, holding opponents to 40% FG in 7.2 minutes of prior matchup time. Williams' 24.8% three-point shooting and below-average scoring output vs. this opponent (4.9 PPG) suggest defensive pressure will limit offensive opportunities.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Williams▼ | Points | 14.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Brandon Williams▼ | Assists | 4.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 1 | ✓ |
Brandon Williams▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | 0 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 14.5
ML Scout Analysis
AST5UNDER28%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x4/1921%▼
3PA2UNDER53%gbtAvoid (7/20)8/1942%▼
FTA7UNDER23%gbtAvoid (7/20)7/1937%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA22UNDER21%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)8/1942%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A19UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (7/20)7/1937%▼
PTS14UNDER19%gbt_pointsAvoid (6/20)9/1947%▼
FTM5UNDER25%gbtAvoid (6/20)8/1942%▼
R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x7/1937%▼
P+R17.5UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)9/1947%▼
REB2OVER22%gbt_reboundsAvoid (4/20)UNDER 3x8/1942%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
Featured Pick
Brandon Williams
Points UNDER 14.5MEDIUM
Williams' historical performance vs. New Orleans (4.9 PPG, 16.3 MPG) is dramatically lower than his season average. Back-to-back fatigue, limited recent minutes (22 MPG), and a defending unit with a 119.84 rating create a challenging scenario. The +6 PPG gap between season and matchup-specific averages is too large to ignore.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.