Cooper Flagg▲

DAL · SF

PPG

20.1

RPG

6.5

APG

4.5

L5 PPG

19.2

Last 5 GamesPTS

Season vs Last 5

Season Last 5

PPG-0.9

20.1

19.2

RPG+0.7

6.5

7.2

APG+2.1

4.5

6.6

UNDER 22.5 PTS

Last 5 games

Current Streak

Longest Streak

OVER

Streak Type

22.5

TOR

2026-03-08

2026-03-08 vs TOR: 17 pts

ATL

2026-03-10

2026-03-10 vs ATL: 14 pts

MEM

2026-03-12

2026-03-12 vs MEM: 13 pts

CLE

2026-03-13

2026-03-13 vs CLE: 25 pts

CLE

2026-03-15

2026-03-15 vs CLE: 27 pts

Over 22.5

Under 22.5

Last 5 games

Prop Confidence

PTS

UNDER 22.5

68%

AST

OVER 5.5

72%

REB

UNDER 7.5

65%

PRA

OVER 27.5

70%

vs ??? (H2H)3 games

PPG

21.7

RPG

7.3

APG

4.3

Defensive Matchup Profile

Top Defenders This Season

Defender	Games	Min	eFG%	vs Season	Sample
Herbert Jones	4	20	65%	+11.4%	medium
Jabari Smith Jr.	3	17	47%	-7.4%	medium
Tari Eason	3	14	46%	-14.1%	medium
Peyton Watson	4	12	75%

Flagg's Upward Trend Faces Fresh Orleans Test on Back-to-Back

Cooper Flagg enters this matchup riding positive momentum with a 20.3 PPG average over his last 10 games and an upward trend overall. However, Dallas is on a back-to-back after playing Cleveland yesterday, which historically suppresses his scoring to 18.78 PPG. Against New Orleans specifically, Flagg has produced 21.67 PPG across 3 prior matchups, but the Pelicans' defense allows 119.84 PPG with a +1.045 scoring suppression factor. Herbert Jones will likely be his primary defender, having allowed 18 PPG on 61.5% FG in limited matchups.

Stat Trends

PPG

19.2(↑ from 20.1)

APG

6.6(↑ from 4.5)

RPG

7.2(↑ from 6.5)

Key Matchup

Herbert Jones will be the primary defender and has held opposing SFs to 18 PPG on solid efficiency in limited sample. New Orleans' overall defensive rating of 119.84 ranks middle-of-the-pack but their +1.045 scoring suppression suggests they effectively limit offensive rhythm—concerning for Flagg on a back-to-back.

Prop Analysis

Player	Prop	Line	Pick	Confidence	ML	Trend	Actual	Result
Cooper Flagg▼	Points	22.5	UNDER	68%MEDIUM	1/2	60%	21	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	Assists	5.5	OVER	72%HIGH	2/2	60%	8	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	Rebounds	7.5	UNDER	65%MEDIUM	2/2	60%	7	✓
Cooper Flagg▼	PRA	27.5	OVER	70%HIGH	2/2	80%	36	✓

ML Scout Analysis

R+A12OVER0%logisticWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

PTS27.5UNDER22%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x4/2020%+28.1% edgeLine moved +1.0; Value edge shifted +0.118; Scorecard changed +4.0▼

BLK0.5OVER17%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 4x13/2065%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Line nudged -0.5▼

PRA42.5UNDER14%logisticWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x4/2020%+22.6% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Line moved +2.0; Value edge changed +0.075▼

AST5.5UNDER18%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

STL1.5UNDER32%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x10/2050%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+A29UNDER0%logisticWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x7/2035%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

REB6.5UNDER20%logisticAvoid (7/20)8/2040%+10.3% edgeConfidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

3PM1.5UNDER24%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x5/2025%+13.3% edgeConfidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed +3.0▼

P+R30UNDER0%logisticAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x7/2035%Scorecard changed +3.0▼

Featured Pick

Cooper Flagg

Assists OVER 5.5MEDIUM

Flagg's recent playmaking surge—6.6 APG over last 5 games and 5.5 over last 10—outpaces his season average of 4.45. His 6.6 recent APG and 4.33 vs. New Orleans suggest the ceiling is higher than the line despite back-to-back circumstances. His elevated role continues to drive distributed scoring.

This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.

Defender	Games	Min	PTS	FG%	eFG%
Herbert Jones	4	20	23	59%	65%
Saddiq Bey	4	8	13	45%	55%
Trey Murphy III	4	7	7	20%	25%
Derik Queen	4	4	6	50%	63%
Yves Missi	2	3	0	0%	0%

pointsUNDER 22.568%MEDIUM

Back-to-back fatigue drops his scoring to 18.78 PPG historically. While vs. NO he averages 21.67, the combination of rest disadvantage and opponent's strong defense rating should push him toward the under.

assistsOVER 5.572%HIGH

Flagg has averaged 6.6 APG over last 5 games and 5.5 in last 10. With 4.33 APG vs. New Orleans historically, the recent elevated assist rate and momentum should exceed the 5.5 line.

reboundsUNDER 7.565%MEDIUM

Last 5 games show 7.2 RPG, but season average is 6.53. Against New Orleans, he's recorded 7.33 RPG, making this a marginal call. Back-to-back typically reduces board work slightly.

praOVER 27.570%HIGH

With recent assists surge (6.6 APG last 5 games) and solid rebound floor, the combined total should comfortably exceed 27.5 despite modest point projection.

timelineUNDER 22.5 PTS