C
Daniel Gafford▲
DAL · C
PPG
9.0
RPG
6.8
APG
1.0
L5 PPG
15.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+6.8
9.0
15.8
RPG+4.0
6.8
10.8
APG+0.6
1.0
1.6
UNDER 10.5 PTS
Last 5 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
10.5
10
CHA
2026-03-03
2026-03-03 vs CHA: 10 pts
12
ORL
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs ORL: 12 pts
21
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 21 pts
14
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 14 pts
22
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 22 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 10.5
62%
REB
UNDER 8.5
58%
AST
OVER 0.5
68%
vs ??? (H2H)14 games
PPG
12.6
RPG
6.7
APG
1.3
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 13 | 50% | -15.5% | medium |
| Jaxson Hayes | 3 | 12 | 80% | +14.5% | medium |
| Donovan Clingan | 2 | 12 | 83% | +1.2% | low |
| Alperen Sengun | 3 | 11 | 45% |
Gafford's Hot Streak Faces Injury Uncertainty Against New Orleans
Daniel Gafford is listed as Doubtful due to illness heading into this matchup, which significantly clouds the outlook. When healthy, he's been on an upswing—averaging 15.8 PPG and 10.8 RPG over his last 5 games compared to season averages of 9.0 PPG and 6.8 RPG. He's played well against New Orleans historically (12.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG across 14 career games). However, Dallas is on a back-to-back after playing yesterday, and Gafford's per-game metrics on b2b situations show declining production (5.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG). The Pelicans' defense rates 119.84 DEFRTG with moderate scoring suppression (1.045 factor).
Stat Trends
PPG
15.8(↑ from 9.0)
RPG
10.8(↑ from 6.8)
APG
1.6(↑ from 1.0)
Key Matchup
Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, and Herbert Jones have seen limited defensive minutes against Gafford historically, with no dominant individual matchup emerging. The Pelicans' overall defense is middle-of-pack, not presenting a major barrier.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Gafford▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% |
Daniel Gafford▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% |
Daniel Gafford▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% |
pointsUNDER 10.5
ML Scout Analysis
FTA4UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA17.5OVER28%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A13UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
PTS9UNDER14%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
REB6.5UNDER12%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼
AST1UNDER12%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
BLK1UNDER48%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
FTM2OVER0%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
Featured Pick
Daniel Gafford
Assists OVER 0.5MEDIUM
Gafford's last-5 average of 1.6 APG and season mean of 1.02 APG both comfortably clear this line. Even in a compromised state due to illness, hitting 1+ assist is a reasonable expectation. The concern is primarily availability—if he plays, this should cash.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.