Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Sheppard | 2 | 9 | 60% | -8.4% | low |
| Amen Thompson | 2 | 7 | 43% | -5.5% | low |
| Jalen Brunson | 1 | 6 | 40% | -8.4% | low |
| Kris Dunn | 2 | 6 | 63% | +1.6% |
Dejounte Murray is trending upward with 22.2 PPG over his last 5 games, including a dominant 35-point performance against Houston on March 13th. The Pelicans enjoy a significant rest advantage (3 days off vs. Dallas on a back-to-back), which historically benefits Murray's scoring and efficiency. Against Dallas specifically, Murray averages 20.3 PPG across 13 career matchups, and the Mavericks' defense allows significant scoring (118.1 def rating) despite some suppression metrics. However, a questionable injury designation adds uncertainty to his availability and potential minutes.
Dallas' defensive rating (118.1) is permissive, and the team concedes significant three-point opportunities (-1.683 suppression). Murray's 35.1% three-point clip and 54.7% FG rate position him to exploit weaknesses, though limited key defender data (P.J. Washington had only 3.5 minutes vs. Murray historically) prevents precise defensive assignment analysis.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dejounte Murray▼ | Points | 21.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% |
Dejounte Murray▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% |
Dejounte Murray▼ | Rebounds | 6 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% |
Dejounte Murray▼ | PRA | 33.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% |
Murray's last 5-game average (22.2 PPG) exceeds this line, and his career 20.3 PPG vs. Dallas aligns with over expectations. New Orleans' 3-day rest advantage over a back-to-back Dallas team creates optimal conditions. Caveat: Questionable injury status on March 16 introduces material risk; confirm game-time availability before full commitment.
| low |
| Jalen Green | 1 | 5 | 67% | +18.3% | low |
Murray averages 22.2 PPG in his last 5 games and 20.3 PPG historically vs. Dallas. Rest advantage and home court positioning favor elevated production, though injury status requires monitoring.
Murray's season mean (5.25 APG) sits just below this line, and his away-game assist average (6.2 APG) suggests Dallas' defense doesn't clamp playmaking. Recent form supports continued facilitation.
Murray has averaged 6.8 RPG in his last 5 games with strong away-game rebounding (6.2 RPG). At home against a back-to-back Dallas squad, increased board activity is likely.
Combining season PPG (19.8) + RPG (5.5) + APG (5.3) yields ~30.6. Recent 5-game PRA trend suggests consistent output above 33.5, particularly with New Orleans' rest advantage.