C
Herbert Jones—
NOP · C
PPG
9.0
RPG
3.6
APG
2.8
L5 PPG
10.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.8
9.0
10.8
RPG0.0
3.6
3.6
APG-0.8
2.8
2.0
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
9.5
12
SAC
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs SAC: 12 pts
14
PHX
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs PHX: 14 pts
4
WAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs WAS: 4 pts
16
TOR
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs TOR: 16 pts
8
HOU
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs HOU: 8 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5
62%
REB
OVER 3.5
68%
AST
OVER 2.5
65%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
58%
vs ??? (H2H)12 games
PPG
11.3
RPG
4.8
APG
2.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 25 | 78% | +36.7% | medium |
| Luka Dončić | 3 | 19 | 53% | +8.4% | medium |
| Cooper Flagg | 4 | 16 | 55% | +11.7% | medium |
| Brandon Ingram | 2 | 14 | 22% |
Jones Stable but Limited Upside Against Dallas Defense
Herbert Jones has maintained a stable trajectory with season averages of 9.0 PPG and 3.6 RPG across 45 games as a starting center. His recent 5-game stretch shows 10.8 PPG but with high volatility (5.36 std dev), including a 16-point outburst vs Toronto but just 4 points in limited minutes vs Washington. Against Dallas, Jones has historically produced 11.3 PPG and 4.75 RPG over 12 matchups, though Dallas's strong defensive rating (118.1) and scoring suppression (0.644) present challenges. With New Orleans at home on 3 days rest versus Dallas on a back-to-back, Jones should see consistent run around 29-30 mpg.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.8(→ from 9.0)
RPG
3.6(→ from 3.6)
APG
2.0(↓ from 2.8)
Key Matchup
Cooper Flagg will likely handle primary duties on Jones, having allowed 10 points on 50% FG in 12.4 minutes of prior matchups. Dallas's defense has suppressed scoring at a 0.644 rate, though Jones's historical performance vs Dallas (11.3 PPG) suggests the matchup is manageable.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Herbert Jones▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 10 | ✗ |
Herbert Jones▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 3 | ✗ |
Herbert Jones▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
Herbert Jones▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS10UNDER5%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x8/1942%▼
3PM2UNDER35%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x5/1926%▼
3PA5UNDER23%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%▼
PRA16UNDER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x8/1942%▼
AST3UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x7/1937%▼
R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)7/1937%▼
P+R12OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)11/1958%▼
P+A12OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x10/1953%▼
REB3UNDER20%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1926%▼
STL1UNDER10%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/1942%▼
Featured Pick
Herbert Jones
Rebounds OVER 3.5MEDIUM
Jones's last 5-game average of 4.0 RPG combined with historical performance vs Dallas (4.75 RPG over 12 games) and Dallas playing on a back-to-back create favorable board conditions. New Orleans' home rest advantage (3 days) vs Dallas's fatigue provides an edge in the glass battle.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.