PF
Khris Middleton▼
DAL · PF
PPG
11.1
RPG
3.9
APG
3.1
L5 PPG
13.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+2.1
11.1
13.2
RPG-1.5
3.9
2.4
APG-1.7
3.1
1.4
UNDER 10.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
10.5
6
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 6 pts
16
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 16 pts
35
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 35 pts
4
CLE
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CLE: 4 pts
5
CLE
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs CLE: 5 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 10.5
68%
REB
UNDER 4.5
72%
AST
UNDER 3.5
65%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
62%
vs ??? (H2H)5 games
PPG
13.4
RPG
5.6
APG
5.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 4 | 16 | 25% | -21.1% | medium |
| Noah Clowney | 3 | 13 | 30% | -22.5% | medium |
| Jarace Walker | 2 | 10 | 83% | +24.2% | low |
| Spencer Jones | 3 | 10 | 75% |
Middleton's Volatility Against New Orleans Defensive Strength
Khris Middleton shows inconsistent recent form with a 13.2 PPG average over last 5 games but extreme volatility (9.18 std dev), including a 35-point outburst against Memphis followed by back-to-back single-digit outputs. Dallas is in a back-to-back situation after playing 4 games in 7 days, which typically suppresses his output (7.0 PPG on b2b). New Orleans runs a strong defensive unit (119.84 def rating) with Trey Murphy III allowing 13 PPG on 7.7 minutes against Middleton historically, and the Pelicans actually suppress opponent three-point shooting (-1.077), limiting his outside opportunities.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.2(↓ from 11.1)
Rebounds
2.4(↓ from 3.9)
Assists
1.4(↓ from 3.1)
Three-Pointers
1.2(→ from 1.1)
Key Matchup
Trey Murphy III is the primary defender with 7.7 minutes of matchup history, having allowed 13 PPG on 57% FG. However, New Orleans' overall defensive rating (119.84) and three-point suppression (-1.077) present a challenging environment, especially with Dallas fatigued from a back-to-back.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Khris Middleton▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 6 | ✓ |
Khris Middleton▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
Khris Middleton▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Khris Middleton▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 2 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA13.5UNDER22%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A11.5UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (7/20)UNDER 4x7/2035%▼
3PA3UNDER36%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
FTM1.5UNDER33%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 4x10/2050%▼
FTA2UNDER45%gbtAvoid (6/20)UNDER 11x6/2030%▼
R+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
P+R13UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (6/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
PTS8UNDER25%gbt_pointsAvoid (5/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
AST2UNDER43%gbt_assistsAvoid (5/20)UNDER 4x8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
3PM1UNDER38%gbt_three_pmAvoid (5/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
REB2OVER33%gbt_reboundsAvoid (4/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
Featured Pick
Khris Middleton
Rebounds UNDER 4.5HIGH
Middleton's rebounding has collapsed to 2.4 RPG over the last 5 games, well short of the 4.5 line. His season average of 3.9 RPG is already borderline, and back-to-back status typically suppresses effort on secondary stats. The recent trend is decisively downward.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.