PF
Naji Marshall▲
DAL · PF
PPG
14.8
RPG
4.7
APG
3.0
L5 PPG
13.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-1.0
14.8
13.8
RPG-0.7
4.7
4.0
APG+0.6
3.0
3.6
UNDER 15.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
15.5
8
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 8 pts
14
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 14 pts
5
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 5 pts
17
CLE
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CLE: 17 pts
25
CLE
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs CLE: 25 pts
Over 15.5
Under 15.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 15.5
68%
AST
OVER 3.5
70%
REB
UNDER 5.5
62%
PRA
UNDER 21.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)7 games
PPG
10.4
RPG
3.9
APG
4.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 3 | 18 | 83% | +15.9% | medium |
| Deni Avdija | 3 | 16 | 43% | -7.9% | medium |
| Jamal Murray | 4 | 14 | 89% | +27.8% | medium |
| Keyonte George | 4 | 13 | 80% |
Marshall Rides Upward Trend vs. Pelicans Despite Recent Left Foot Concern
Naji Marshall is trending up with a 14.9 PPG average over his last 10 games and a strong recent game of 25 points on 32 minutes against Cleveland. However, he's on the second night of a back-to-back after playing the Cavaliers yesterday, which historically dents his production. Against New Orleans specifically, Marshall has struggled, averaging just 10.4 PPG on 24 MPG across 7 prior meetings. The Pelicans' defense allows 119.84 points per 100 possessions but Marshall will face Trey Murphy III, who held him to 14 points on 33% FG in 12.2 minutes of prior matchups.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.8(↑ from 14.8)
APG
3.6(↑ from 3.0)
RPG
4.0(→ from 4.7)
Key Matchup
Trey Murphy III has been Marshall's primary defender in prior matchups, holding him to 14 points on 33% FG in 12.2 minutes. Murphy's efficiency suggests the Pelicans can contain Marshall's scoring, especially on a back-to-back where Dallas has 1-day rest vs. New Orleans' 3-day rest advantage.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Naji Marshall▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 32 | ✗ |
Naji Marshall▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 7 | ✓ |
Naji Marshall▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 8 | ✗ |
Naji Marshall▼ | PRA | 21.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 47 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS14.5OVER18%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼
PRA21.5OVER34%gbt_praWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼
3PA2.5UNDER34%gbtAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼
FTA5UNDER12%gbtAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼
REB3.5OVER5%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)OVER 2x12/2060%▼
P+A20.5UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (6/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
FTM2.5UNDER22%gbtAvoid (5/20)10/2050%▼
R+A8.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (5/20)9/2045%▼
P+R20.5UNDER0%gbt_prAvoid (5/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
AST3.5UNDER9%gbt_assistsAvoid (4/20)10/2050%▼
STL1UNDER29%gbt_stealsAvoid (4/20)5/2025%▼
Featured Pick
Naji Marshall
Points UNDER 15.5MEDIUM
Marshall's vs. New Orleans history (10.4 PPG across 7 games) and Murphy III's effective defense create a strong headwind. While his season 14.8 PPG is close to the line, the B2B fatigue, opponent-specific underperformance, and recent left foot injury (listed as available on 3/14) all point toward a modest scoring night. The slight back-to-back disadvantage and 1-day rest seal this lean.
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