Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant | 4 | 21 | 52% | +5.0% | medium |
| LeBron James | 3 | 17 | 58% | +7.6% | medium |
| Zion Williamson | 3 | 15 | 77% | +31.9% | medium |
| Julius Randle | 3 | 14 | 36% |
P.J. Washington enters this matchup on an upward trend, averaging 13.2 PPG over his last 10 games with solid 31 MPG. However, Dallas is on a back-to-back after yesterday's game, and Washington's scoring dips to 12.67 PPG in such situations. Against New Orleans, he has favorable history (13.1 PPG across 14 matchups), but the Pelicans' 119.84 defensive rating and Zion Williamson's presence (allowing 58 points on .658 FG%) present a stout frontcourt test. His recent 20-point outburst vs. Cleveland shows upside, but consistency remains elusive.
Zion Williamson is the primary defensive concern, having allowed opponents to shoot .659 FG% and average 1.88 PPG per game. Washington's 44.1% season FG% and away tendencies (14.59 PPG) suggest he can operate, but Williamson's rim presence and activity level present containment risk.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P.J. Washington▼ | Points | 13.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 18 | ✗ |
P.J. Washington▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 7 | ✗ |
P.J. Washington▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 2 | ✗ |
P.J. Washington▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 4 | ✗ |
Washington has consistently hit 7+ boards over his last 5 games (7.8 RPG) and maintains 7.22 RPG in away contexts. His rebounding stability transcends scoring inconsistency, making this the most reliable prop on a fatigue-compromised night.
| medium |
| Deni Avdija | 3 | 12 | 33% | -11.7% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson | 3 | 15 | 20 | 77% | 77% |
| Saddiq Bey | 4 | 11 | 6 | 38% | 38% |
| Derik Queen | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14% | 14% |
| Trey Murphy III | 4 | 6 | 11 | 71% | 79% |
| Herbert Jones | 4 | 4 | 5 | 33% | 42% |
Back-to-back fatigue typically suppresses Washington's scoring (12.67 PPG in such spots). Against a defensively sound Pelicans unit, expect a below-season-average output.
Washington averages 7.8 RPG over the last 5 games and 7.22 RPG in away contests. His rebound consistency is more reliable than scoring, even on back-to-backs.
vs. New Orleans matchup history shows 2.93 APG. Recent assists trending stable at 1.8-1.9, but back-to-back b2b_mean is 3.33, suggesting elevated playmaking opportunity.
Season average is 1.25 threes with recent mean at 1.4. Pelicans show -1.077 three suppression, and Washington's 30.9% three-point percentage limits ceiling.