PG
Ryan Nembhard▲
DAL · PG
PPG
6.4
RPG
1.8
APG
4.7
L5 PPG
4.2
Last 5 GamesAST
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.2
6.4
4.2
RPG+0.2
1.8
2.0
APG-0.3
4.7
4.4
UNDER 6.5 AST
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
6.5
2
TOR
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs TOR: 2 ast
3
ATL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs ATL: 3 ast
5
MEM
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs MEM: 5 ast
9
CLE
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs CLE: 9 ast
3
CLE
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs CLE: 3 ast
Over 6.5
Under 6.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
AST
UNDER 6.5
62%
PTS
UNDER 11.5
70%
REB
UNDER 3.5
68%
PRA
UNDER 17.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)1 games
PPG
4.0
RPG
4.0
APG
8.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 4 | 11 | 50% | -3.5% | medium |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 4 | 9 | 20% | -21.0% | medium |
| Isaiah Collier | 4 | 9 | 50% | -1.0% | medium |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 8 | 83% |
Nembhard's Assist Floor Faces Test Against New Orleans
Ryan Nembhard enters this matchup against New Orleans averaging 4.7 assists per season and 4.4 over his last 5 games, showing consistency in his primary role as a facilitator. However, his scoring has declined sharply (5.0 PPG last 10 games vs. 6.4 season average) and he's dealing with reduced playing time (15.6 MPG last 5 vs. 18.3 season). Dallas is on a back-to-back after playing Cleveland, which could further limit his minutes. Against New Orleans' defense (119.84 rating), Nembhard's assist-heavy profile remains his most reliable prop, though the Pelicans' three-suppression index (-1.077) could limit spacing opportunities.
Stat Trends
APG
4.4(→ from 4.7)
PPG
4.2(↓ from 6.4)
MPG
15.6(↓ from 18.3)
Key Matchup
New Orleans allows opponents an opponent defensive rating of 119.84 and shows three-point suppression (-1.077), which limits spacing for a rhythm-based ballhandler. No specific defender matchup data provided; however, limited context suggests standard perimeter assignment.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Assists | 6.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 5 | ✓ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Points | 11.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Ryan Nembhard▼ | PRA | 17.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 11 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS6UNDER12%gbt_pointsAvoid (7/20)7/1741%▼
PRA14UNDER11%gbt_praAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x7/1741%▼
P+A11UNDER0%gbt_paAvoid (7/20)8/1747%▼
REB3UNDER38%gbt_reboundsAvoid (6/20)5/1729%▼
3PA2UNDER29%gbtAvoid (6/20)OVER 3x6/1735%▼
R+A8UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (6/20)7/1741%▼
AST5UNDER22%gbt_assistsAvoid (5/20)UNDER 6x4/1724%▼
P+R8.5OVER0%gbt_prAvoid (5/20)OVER 3x9/1753%▼
Featured Pick
Ryan Nembhard
Points UNDER 11.5HIGH
Nembhard has averaged only 5.0 PPG over his last 10 games and 4.2 PPG over his last 5, showing a clear downward trend. The 11.5 line represents a sharp departure from recent production, and the back-to-back status on Dallas further reduces probability of extended playing time needed to approach the line.
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