PF
Zion Williamson—
NOP · PF
PPG
21.4
RPG
5.9
APG
3.3
L5 PPG
20.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-1.0
21.4
20.4
RPG+0.5
5.9
6.4
APG-0.5
3.3
2.8
OVER 24.5 PTS
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
24.5
23
SAC
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs SAC: 23 pts
19
PHX
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs PHX: 19 pts
20
WAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs WAS: 20 pts
19
TOR
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs TOR: 19 pts
21
HOU
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs HOU: 21 pts
Over 24.5
Under 24.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 24.5
78%
REB
UNDER 6.5
72%
AST
UNDER 4.5
75%
PRA
OVER 30.5
76%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
27.2
RPG
4.7
APG
4.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious Achiuwa | 3 | 17 | 33% | -26.7% | medium |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 4 | 17 | 44% | -26.7% | medium |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 4 | 14 | 66% | -5.5% | medium |
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 11 | 88% |
Zion Dominates vs. Dallas: Elite Scoring Matchup at Home
Zion has been a force against Dallas, averaging 27.2 PPG over 9 matchups—well above his season average of 21.4 PPG. His recent form is stable (19.7 PPG last 10 games, 20.4 PPG last 5), and he faces a Dallas defense allowing 25 points to P.J. Washington in limited minutes. Playing at home with three days of rest versus a back-to-back Mavericks squad, Zion should see favorable conditions to exploit Dallas's 118.1 defensive rating.
Stat Trends
PPG
20.4(→ from 21.4)
RPG
6.4(↑ from 5.9)
vs. DAL
0.0(↑ from 27.2)
Key Matchup
P.J. Washington is the primary defender with 25 points allowed on 52.9% FG in 19.4 minutes against Zion. Dallas's overall 118.1 defensive rating ranks weak, and their back-to-back status gives New Orleans a fresh advantage.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zion Williamson▼ | Points | 24.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 0% | 27 | ✓ |
Zion Williamson▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✓ |
Zion Williamson▼ | Assists | 4.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
Zion Williamson▼ | PRA | 30.5 | OVER | 76%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 32 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA31.5UNDER39%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 4x6/2030%+19.0% edge▼
PTS22.5UNDER11%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x5/2025%+20.1% edge▼
P+R24.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x11/2055%▼
P+A21.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 4x12/2060%▼
REB6.5UNDER56%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)4/2020%+20.8% edge▼
FTA8UNDER29%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼
AST3.5UNDER16%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x5/2025%+13.5% edge▼
FTM5UNDER31%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼
R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Zion Williamson
Points OVER 24.5HIGH
Zion's 27.2 PPG average vs. Dallas over 9 games significantly exceeds the 24.5 line. Home court, full rest, and Dallas's back-to-back fatigue create ideal conditions. Recent stability (20.4–21.4 PPG) ensures floor performance well above the mark.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.