SF
Bilal Coulibaly▲
WAS · SF
PPG
10.8
RPG
4.3
APG
2.6
L5 PPG
14.6
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+3.8
10.8
14.6
RPG+0.1
4.3
4.4
APG+0.6
2.6
3.2
OVER 9.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
9.5
17
UTA
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs UTA: 17 pts
5
NOP
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NOP: 5 pts
10
MIA
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIA: 10 pts
29
ORL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs ORL: 29 pts
12
BOS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs BOS: 12 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 9.5
72%
REB
UNDER 4.5
65%
AST
OVER 2.5
68%
vs ??? (H2H)3 games
PPG
6.7
RPG
4.3
APG
3.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 16 | 56% | +14.0% | low |
| Paolo Banchero | 4 | 15 | 46% | +0.1% | medium |
| Anthony Edwards | 2 | 13 | 58% | +8.4% | low |
| Tyrese Maxey | 3 | 13 | 25% |
Coulibaly Surging at Home Against Struggling Warriors Defense
Bilal Coulibaly is in excellent form, averaging 14.6 PPG over his last 5 games with 30.8 MPG—a significant uptick from his 10.8 season average. Playing at home against Golden State's 114.23 defensive rating, Coulibaly should benefit from the Wizards' rest advantage (2 days) versus the Warriors' back-to-back situation. His recent matchups vs. Golden State show modest production (6.7 PPG, 3 games), but his current trajectory and home splits (11.3 PPG) suggest stronger output in this spot.
Stat Trends
PPG
14.6(↑ from 10.8)
Rebounds
4.4(→ from 4.3)
Assists
3.2(↑ from 2.6)
Key Matchup
Golden State has limited Coulibaly to 6.7 PPG across 3 prior meetings, though recent defender data shows minimal exposure (Moses Moody 2.1 min, Draymond Green 1.6 min). Warriors' back-to-back status and 114+ defensive rating suggests vulnerability exploitable by Washington's rested starter.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Points | 9.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 21 | ✓ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 8 | ✗ |
Bilal Coulibaly▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
pointsOVER 9.572%HIGH
Last 5 games averaging 14.6 PPG with elevated minutes (30.8 MPG). Home splits show 11.3 PPG vs. season 10.8, and Warriors' 114.23 defensive rating provides a favorable matchup.
ML Scout Analysis
PTS12.5OVER10%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
PRA19.5OVER19%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
REB4.5UNDER22%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
AST2.5OVER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼
BLK0.5OVER19%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
P+R18UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
P+A16.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
3PA3.5UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
FTM2UNDER39%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x4/2020%▼
R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
STL1UNDER14%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%▼
3PM1.5UNDER11%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
FTA2UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Bilal Coulibaly
Points OVER 9.5MEDIUM
Coulibaly's last 5 average 14.6 PPG, 4 points above the line. Home court advantage (11.3 home vs. 10.4 away) and Warriors' elevated defensive rating (114.23) create a favorable environment. Historical vs. Golden State (6.7 PPG) is a concern, but his recent scoring surge and increased playing time outweigh that sample.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.