SG
De'Anthony Melton▲
GSW · SG
PPG
12.7
RPG
3.0
APG
2.4
L5 PPG
14.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+2.1
12.7
14.8
RPG+1.0
3.0
4.0
APG+0.2
2.4
2.6
OVER 12.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
12.5
10
LAL
2026-02-28
2026-02-28 vs LAL: 10 pts
7
LAC
2026-03-02
2026-03-02 vs LAC: 7 pts
23
HOU
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs HOU: 23 pts
22
UTA
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs UTA: 22 pts
12
MIN
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs MIN: 12 pts
Over 12.5
Under 12.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 12.5
72%
3PM
OVER 1.5
68%
AST
OVER 2.5
65%
REB
UNDER 3.5
62%
vs ??? (H2H)10 games
PPG
11.8
RPG
3.8
APG
3.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 3 | 8 | 33% | -6.6% | medium |
| Jamal Murray | 2 | 7 | 71% | +17.2% | low |
| Brandon Williams | 2 | 7 | 43% | +3.0% | low |
| Collin Gillespie | 3 | 6 | 0% |
Melton Heating Up Against Weak Wizards Defense—Points Upside in Play
De'Anthony Melton is on a strong upward trajectory, averaging 16.7 PPG over his last 10 games and 14.8 PPG over the last 5, compared to his 12.7 season average. He's increased his minutes to 25 MPG recently and has scored 22+ points in two of his last four games. Washington's defense ranks 123.94 in defensive rating with poor three-point suppression (0.769), and Melton is shooting at 30.2% from three on the season. The matchup data against Washington shows him averaging 11.8 PPG across 10 games, but his current hot streak and elevated role suggest he should exceed that historical baseline.
Stat Trends
PPG
14.8(↑ from 12.7)
Last 10 PPG
16.7(↑ from 12.7)
3PM
2.2(↑ from 1.6)
APG
2.6(↑ from 2.4)
Key Matchup
Washington's defense allows 123.94 points per 100 possessions (league average ~111), and their three-point suppression is poor at 0.769. Bilal Coulibaly has minimal defensive data against Melton (0.5 minutes), so no specific defender matchup data is available, but the overall weak Wizards defense should provide favorable scoring opportunities.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
De'Anthony Melton▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 27 | ✓ |
De'Anthony Melton▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
De'Anthony Melton▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
De'Anthony Melton▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 5 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS13.5UNDER3%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
AST2.5OVER41%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 6x11/2055%▼
REB3.5UNDER2%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
3PA6UNDER65%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 5x4/2020%▼
PRA20.5UNDER34%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
P+R17OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
P+A16UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
3PM1.5OVER11%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼
FTM2UNDER45%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼
STL1UNDER9%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
FTA2UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
De'Anthony Melton
Points OVER 12.5MEDIUM
Melton's last 10-game average of 16.7 PPG and recent surge provide clear evidence he should exceed 12.5. He's also benefiting from increased minutes (25 MPG recent vs. 22.6 season) and faces a permissive Washington defense. The Warriors are on a back-to-back, which is a minor concern, but Melton's hot form and elevated role mitigate this risk.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.