Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 4 | 25 | 53% | +6.4% | medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 3 | 16 | 58% | +7.8% | medium |
| Zion Williamson | 2 | 12 | 42% | -0.1% | low |
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 11 | 47% |
Draymond Green enters this matchup with solid recent form, averaging 9.7 PPG and 5.9 APG over his last 10 games while shooting efficiently. He's averaging 6.8 APG in his last 5 games—well above his season mean of 5.3—and has been getting extended minutes (32 MPG in last 5 vs. 27.2 season average). Washington's defense ranks among the worst in the league with a 123.94 defensive rating and allows significant playmaking opportunities. The back-to-back may slightly limit upside, but Green's assist floor remains high against this matchup.
Washington's defense rates 123.94 in defensive rating with minimal scoring suppression (-1.994), creating an ideal environment for ball movement. Bilal Coulibaly has minimal defensive workload (2.1 minutes in available data), offering no specific defensive containment concerns.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draymond Green▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 7 | ✓ |
Draymond Green▼ | Points | 9.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
Draymond Green▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 8 | ✗ |
Draymond Green▼ | PRA | 13.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 20 | ✓ |
Green's last 5-game assist average of 6.8 and last 10-game average of 5.9 both exceed the line comfortably. Washington's weak defensive rating (123.94) combined with his elevated recent playmaking (32 MPG in last 5) creates a favorable setup. The back-to-back slight concern is offset by his consistent role and recent form trajectory.
| low |
| Kawhi Leonard | 3 | 10 | 64% | +12.3% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Gill | 2 | 4 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 2 | 4 | 5 | 25% | 31% |
| Alex Sarr | 1 | 3 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
| Leaky Black | 1 | 1 | 2 | 100% | 100% |
| Justin Champagnie | 1 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
Green is averaging 6.8 APG over his last 5 games and 5.9 in last 10. His recent trend is solidly up, and Washington's 123.94 defensive rating suggests ample playmaking opportunities. He's also getting consistent 32 MPG of late.
While his season average is 8.7 PPG, recent 10-game average reaches 9.7 PPG. His last 5-game average of 9.6 PPG is very close to the line, and he's been more aggressive offensively in recent outings.
Green's last 5-game rebounding average dropped to 4.0 RPG from his 5.6 season mean. His last 10-game average is 5.1 RPG, suggesting recent underperformance in this category. The 5.5 line sits above both recent samples.
Combining his uptick in assists (6.8 L5) and points (9.6 L5), Green's recent PRA production trends toward 16.4 combined. The 13.5 line offers solid value given his form and Washington's porous defense.