SG
Gary Payton II▲
GSW · SG
PPG
6.5
RPG
3.4
APG
1.7
L5 PPG
12.6
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+6.1
6.5
12.6
RPG+3.2
3.4
6.6
APG+0.1
1.7
1.8
OVER 7.5 PTS
Last 5 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
7.5
7
OKC
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs OKC: 7 pts
13
UTA
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs UTA: 13 pts
12
CHI
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHI: 12 pts
12
MIN
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs MIN: 12 pts
19
NYK
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs NYK: 19 pts
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 7.5
72%
REB
OVER 4.5
68%
AST
UNDER 2.5
64%
3PM
OVER 0.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)4 games
PPG
8.5
RPG
2.8
APG
2.3
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell | 2 | 7 | 30% | -37.7% | low |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 4 | 6 | 44% | -20.2% | medium |
| Lauri Markkanen | 2 | 6 | 67% | +9.0% | low |
| Jamal Murray | 3 | 6 | 57% |
Payton II Trending Up Against Weak Wizards Defense
Gary Payton II has emerged as a consistent contributor over his last 10 games, averaging 12.7 PPG and 4.8 RPG while seeing increased minutes (20.9 MPG last 5 games vs. 14.3 season average). Washington's defense ranks 123.94 in defensive rating with significant three-point suppression (0.769), but Payton has thrived recently with multiple 20+ minute outings. Playing on the second night of a back-to-back presents slight fatigue concerns, but his recent form suggests elevated production compared to season norms.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.6(↑ from 6.5)
RPG
6.6(↑ from 3.4)
Minutes
23.2(↑ from 14.3)
Key Matchup
Washington's weak defensive rating (123.94) and emphasis on three-point suppression favor Payton's recent scoring and rebounding uptick. Limited historical matchup data against Bilal Coulibaly, Bub Carrington, and Alex Sarr (minimal defensive minutes logged) suggests no specific defender concern.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gary Payton II▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 15 | ✓ |
Gary Payton II▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 6 | ✓ |
Gary Payton II▼ | Assists | 2.5 | UNDER | 64%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
Gary Payton II▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS11.5OVER50%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (15/20)15/2075%+26.0% edgeConfidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
STL1.5UNDER34%gbt_stealsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PA3UNDER60%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 9x8/2040%▼
REB5.5UNDER17%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%▼
FTA0.5OVER2%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
P+A15.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
AST2OVER12%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x7/2035%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
PRA20OVER2%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
P+R18OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
Featured Pick
Gary Payton II
Points OVER 7.5MEDIUM
Payton's last 10-game average of 12.7 PPG represents 70% upside from the 7.5 line. Elevated minute allocation (23.2 MPG last 5 vs 14.3 season) should persist given increased role, though back-to-back fatigue introduces modest downside risk.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.