SF
Gui Santos—
GSW · SF
PPG
7.9
RPG
3.7
APG
2.1
L5 PPG
18.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+10.3
7.9
18.2
RPG+3.1
3.7
6.8
APG+2.7
2.1
4.8
OVER 5.5 PTS
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
5.5
22
OKC
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs OKC: 22 pts
15
UTA
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs UTA: 15 pts
17
CHI
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHI: 17 pts
17
MIN
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs MIN: 17 pts
20
NYK
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs NYK: 20 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 5.5
82%
AST
OVER 1.5
78%
REB
OVER 4.5
75%
PRA
OVER 7.5
80%
vs ??? (H2H)2 games
PPG
3.5
RPG
2.5
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 4 | 8 | 46% | -7.7% | medium |
| Amen Thompson | 2 | 6 | 50% | -0.6% | low |
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 6 | 80% | +29.4% | medium |
| Naz Reid | 4 | 6 | 75% |
Santos Surging as Starter—Capitalize on Elevated Scoring and Assist Props
Gui Santos has transformed into a high-volume contributor over his last 5 games, averaging 18.2 PPG and 4.8 APG on 34.8 MPG—a dramatic shift from his season averages of 7.9 PPG on 18.7 MPG. He's posted 15+ points in four of his last five contests, including 20 and 22-point performances. Washington's defense ranks 123.94 in defensive rating (poor) with minimal three-point suppression (0.769), creating favorable conditions. Santos is on the second night of a back-to-back, which is a minor headwind, but his recent trajectory and increased playing time suggest continued elevated production.
Stat Trends
PPG
18.2(↑ from 7.9)
APG
4.8(↑ from 2.1)
RPG
6.8(↑ from 3.7)
MPG
34.8(↑ from 18.7)
Key Matchup
Washington's defense ranks 123.94 in defensive rating with minimal three-point suppression (0.769), suggesting vulnerable perimeter and overall scoring defense. Bilal Coulibaly has minimal tracked minutes (1.1) against Santos in available data, indicating no established defensive advantage for the Wizards.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gui Santos▼ | Points | 5.5 | OVER | 82%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 18 | ✓ |
Gui Santos▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 5 | ✓ |
Gui Santos▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✗ |
Gui Santos▼ | PRA | 7.5 | OVER | 80%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 27 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS15.5UNDER2%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
STL1.5UNDER34%gbt_stealsDecent Leg (13/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA26.5UNDER10%gbt_praDecent Leg (13/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
3PA5UNDER20%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼
FTA4UNDER22%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+A20UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼
AST4OVER9%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 5x8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER▼
3PM1.5OVER1%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTM2.5UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R22UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼
REB5UNDER0%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Gui Santos
PRA OVER 7.5HIGH
Santos has averaged 29.8 combined points+rebounds+assists over his last 5 games at 34.8 MPG, more than 3.5x the 7.5 line. Even accounting for back-to-back fatigue and a modest reduction to ~20 combined action, this line remains severely underpriced. The Wizards' weak defense (123.94 rating) provides minimal resistance.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.