SG
Pat Spencer▲
GSW · SG
PPG
6.5
RPG
2.3
APG
3.5
L5 PPG
8.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.9
6.5
8.4
RPG+0.1
2.3
2.4
APG-0.3
3.5
3.2
OVER 7.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
7.5
9
OKC
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs OKC: 9 pts
0
UTA
2026-03-09
2026-03-09 vs UTA: 0 pts
17
CHI
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs CHI: 17 pts
7
MIN
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs MIN: 7 pts
9
NYK
2026-03-15
2026-03-15 vs NYK: 9 pts
Over 7.5
Under 7.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 7.5
72%
AST
OVER 3.5
68%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
65%
PRA
OVER 13.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)1 games
PPG
0.0
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Joe | 4 | 7 | 50% | -10.0% | medium |
| Jaden McDaniels | 3 | 5 | 40% | -3.3% | medium |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 3 | 5 | 21% | -29.0% | medium |
| Jaylen Wells | 2 | 5 | 25% |
Spencer Trending Up in Expanded Role, Faces Weak Wizards Defense
Pat Spencer has shown clear upward momentum, averaging 8.4 PPG over his last 5 games on 22 MPG compared to his season average of 6.5 PPG on 17.3 MPG. Washington's defense ranks bottom-tier with a 123.94 defensive rating and allows 1.994 more points per 100 possessions than average. Spencer's away splits (8.13 PPG, 1.09 3PM) align well with this matchup, and despite Golden State being on a back-to-back, Spencer's increased playing time and aggressive shot selection suggest continued production.
Stat Trends
PPG
8.4(↑ from 6.5)
APG
4.1(↑ from 3.5)
3PM
1.0(↑ from 0.8)
MPG
22.0(↑ from 17.3)
Key Matchup
Washington's defense ranks bottom-5 in the league with a 123.94 rating and allows 1.994 extra points per 100 possessions. Bub Carrington's limited defensive sample (0.1 minutes) provides no specific defender information, but the overall Washington scheme shows vulnerability that Spencer can exploit.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pat Spencer▼ | Points | 7.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 10 | ✓ |
Pat Spencer▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 4 | ✓ |
Pat Spencer▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 100% | 2 | ✗ |
Pat Spencer▼ | PRA | 13.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 17 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
3PA3UNDER20%gbtDecent Leg (13/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTA0.5UNDER0%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
R+A6.5UNDER0%gbt_raDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
P+A13OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
PTS9OVER7%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼
AST3OVER19%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
PRA15OVER36%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
REB2OVER45%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
3PM1UNDER12%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
Featured Pick
Pat Spencer
Points OVER 7.5MEDIUM
Spencer's last 5 average of 8.4 PPG and away splits of 8.13 PPG both exceed this line by a meaningful margin. Washington's league-worst 123.94 defensive rating creates a favorable environment, though back-to-back status and recent game variance (0-17 range) introduce some risk.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.