PG
Trae Young▲
WAS · PG
PPG
17.7
RPG
2.0
APG
8.2
L5 PPG
12.8
Last 5 GamesAST
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-4.9
17.7
12.8
RPG+0.6
2.0
2.6
APG-1.0
8.2
7.2
OVER 8.5 AST
Last 5 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
8.5
10
NYK
2025-12-27
2025-12-27 vs NYK: 10 ast
6
UTA
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs UTA: 6 ast
8
NOP
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NOP: 8 ast
6
ORL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs ORL: 6 ast
6
BOS
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs BOS: 6 ast
Over 8.5
Under 8.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
AST
OVER 8.5
78%
PTS
UNDER 19.5
72%
3PM
OVER 1.5
68%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
24.7
RPG
3.7
APG
10.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Okoro | 3 | 10 | 33% | -12.5% | medium |
| Tre Jones | 3 | 8 | 63% | +4.2% | medium |
| Davion Mitchell | 1 | 7 | 33% | -12.5% | low |
| Kevin Huerter | 3 | 7 | 117% |
Trae Young Poised for Assist-Heavy Game at Home vs. Warriors
Trae Young has historically dominated against Golden State, averaging 10.6 assists and 24.7 points across nine matchups. Playing at home where he averages 8.7 assists on the season, Young faces a Warriors defense allowing -0.252 scoring suppression and -0.592 three-point suppression—both favorable matchups. With two days rest and the Warriors on a back-to-back, Washington has the freshness advantage. Young's recent form shows a slight dip in scoring (12.8 PPG last 5) but his assist production remains steady at 7.2 APG, suggesting he's orchestrating the offense effectively.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.8(↓ from 17.7)
APG
7.2(→ from 8.2)
vs Warriors (career)
10.6(↑ from 24.7)
Key Matchup
Brandin Podziemski has logged 11 minutes vs. Young historically, allowing just 6 points on 40% FG. However, Young's dominance in the season series (10.6 APG) indicates the Warriors struggle containing his playmaking rather than his scoring.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trae Young▼ | Assists | 8.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 5 | ✗ |
Trae Young▼ | Points | 19.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 21 | ✗ |
Trae Young▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 3 | ✓ |
assistsOVER 8.5
ML Scout Analysis
PTS19OVER22%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)7/1450%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
PRA28.5OVER16%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x7/1450%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
P+R21OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)7/1450%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
FTM5.5UNDER33%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/1450%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
FTA6.5UNDER17%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/1450%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
P+A27.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 6x5/1436%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
REB2UNDER22%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1436%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
AST7UNDER3%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x7/1450%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -5.0▼
3PM1OVER5%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)6/1443%Confidence moved HIGH to LOW; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
3PA5UNDER22%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 6x6/1443%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
R+A10.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 3x5/1436%Scorecard changed -3.0▼
Featured Pick
Trae Young
Assists OVER 8.5HIGH
Young's career 10.6 APG vs. Golden State combined with home court advantage (8.7 season average) and the Warriors' permissive defensive rating create a compelling floor. His recent assist consistency (7.2 last 5) shows he's reliable in this role regardless of scoring fluctuations.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.