C
Alperen Sengun▼
HOU · C
PPG
20.3
RPG
9.0
APG
6.0
L5 PPG
17.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-3.3
20.3
17.0
RPG-2.4
9.0
6.6
APG-2.2
6.0
3.8
UNDER 22.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
22.5
17
GSW
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs GSW: 17 pts
28
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 28 pts
16
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 16 pts
14
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 14 pts
10
DEN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs DEN: 10 pts
Over 22.5
Under 22.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 22.5
68%
REB
UNDER 9.5
65%
AST
UNDER 5.5
62%
PRA
UNDER 29.5
66%
vs ??? (H2H)14 games
PPG
17.7
RPG
9.5
APG
4.3
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić | 4 | 24 | 58% | -0.0% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 4 | 20 | 50% | -5.0% | medium |
| Rudy Gobert | 2 | 14 | 57% | +4.7% | low |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 13 | 100% |
Sengun Questionable with Back Injury; Downward Trend Continues Against Lakers
Alperen Sengun is listed as Questionable due to lower back injury heading into this home matchup against Los Angeles. His recent production has declined notably—dropping from 20.3 PPG season average to 17.0 PPG over his last 5 games, with inconsistent output (10 points vs DEN, 28 vs POR). Against the Lakers specifically, Sengun has averaged 17.7 PPG on 30.9 MPG across 14 career matchups. The Lakers' 115.32 defensive rating and LeBron James' presence (though limited minutes defensively at 7.3 min) presents a moderate challenge.
Stat Trends
PPG
17.0(↓ from 20.3)
RPG
6.6(↓ from 9.0)
APG
3.8(↓ from 6.0)
vs Lakers (Career)
17.7(→ from 17.7)
Key Matchup
LeBron James allowed 39 points in 7.3 minutes of defensive coverage against Sengun in limited sample, but Sengun's recent decline and Questionable status with lower back injury significantly diminish his scoring upside. DeAndre Ayton's limited minutes (5.5) suggest Houston's interior may not face heavy defensive pressure from elite Lakers rim protection.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alperen Sengun▼ | Points | 22.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Alperen Sengun▼ | Rebounds | 9.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Alperen Sengun▼ | Assists | 5.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% |
Alperen Sengun▼ | PRA | 29.5 | UNDER | 66%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA33.5UNDER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼
REB8.5UNDER14%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%+8.1% edge▼
P+R29.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
PTS18.5UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼
3PA1.5UNDER11%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x10/2050%▼
FTM2.5UNDER0%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 5x10/2050%▼
P+A27UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼
AST5.5UNDER33%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)9/2045%+9.1% edge▼
BLK1UNDER43%gbt_blocksAvoid (7/20)7/2035%▼
FTA4UNDER11%gbtAvoid (7/20)9/2045%▼
R+A14UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Alperen Sengun
Points UNDER 22.5MEDIUM
Sengun's last 5-game average of 17.0 PPG is substantially below 22.5, and his career mark vs Lakers (17.7 PPG) reinforces the Under case. The Questionable designation for lower back injury introduces additional downside risk. However, the injury status creates uncertainty—if he plays healthy, season and career averages suggest he can reach 20+, so confidence is medium rather than high.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.