SG
Austin Reaves▲
LAL · SG
PPG
24.0
RPG
4.8
APG
5.5
L5 PPG
27.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+3.4
24.0
27.4
RPG+0.2
4.8
5.0
APG+0.7
5.5
6.2
OVER 25.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
25.5
19
IND
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs IND: 19 pts
25
NYK
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NYK: 25 pts
31
MIN
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIN: 31 pts
30
CHI
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs CHI: 30 pts
32
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 32 pts
Over 25.5
Under 25.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 25.5
68%
AST
OVER 5.5
72%
3PM
OVER 2.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)13 games
PPG
13.9
RPG
3.3
APG
4.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte DiVincenzo | 4 | 17 | 77% | +5.5% | medium |
| Keyonte George | 2 | 11 | 91% | +32.8% | low |
| Anthony Edwards | 3 | 9 | 39% | -15.7% | medium |
| Brandin Podziemski | 3 | 8 | 25% |
Reaves Riding Hot Streak into Houston with Defensive Concerns
Austin Reaves is in elite form, averaging 27.4 PPG over his last 5 games with excellent efficiency (50.2% FG, 38% 3P). However, his season averages against Houston (13.9 PPG over 13 games) suggest significant struggles against the Rockets' defense. The Rockets' modest defensive rating (109.63) doesn't fully explain the massive differential, but Reaves' lower usage and reduced minutes (28.1 MPG) in prior matchups indicate Houston's defensive scheme has historically limited his impact. Tonight's away game and 2-day rest present neutral factors, but the volume concerns from historical matchups warrant caution on aggressive point totals.
Stat Trends
PPG
27.4(↑ from 24.0)
APG
6.2(↑ from 5.5)
3P%
(→ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
Reaves has historically struggled against Houston, averaging only 13.9 PPG across 13 prior matchups with reduced minutes (28.1 MPG). Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, and Tari Eason have combined to allow strong field goal percentages when defending Reaves, though sample sizes are limited. This defensive matchup history is the primary red flag.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Austin Reaves▼ | Points | 25.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 15 | ✗ |
Austin Reaves▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
Austin Reaves▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
points
ML Scout Analysis
REB4OVER21%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
P+R25UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
3PM2UNDER30%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x5/2025%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PA6.5UNDER25%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
PRA28.5UNDER24%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A26UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
PTS19UNDER20%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x8/2040%▼
AST5UNDER15%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTM5UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
FTA5.5UNDER0%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
STL1UNDER20%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)8/2040%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
Featured Pick
Austin Reaves
Assists OVER 5.5MEDIUM
Reaves' last 5 games show 6.2 APG average with consistent 5+ assist performances. Away-game splits (5.94 APG) support the over, and his playmaking has been reliable despite historical point struggles vs. Houston. This prop offers better value than points given the matchup headwinds on scoring.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.