C
Clint Capela▲
HOU · C
PPG
3.8
RPG
4.6
APG
0.6
L5 PPG
5.2
Last 5 GamesREB
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.4
3.8
5.2
RPG+1.6
4.6
6.2
APG+0.4
0.6
1.0
OVER 5.5 REB
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
5.5
6
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 6 reb
3
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 3 reb
10
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 10 reb
7
DEN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs DEN: 7 reb
5
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 5 reb
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
REB
OVER 5.5
78%
PTS
OVER 6.5
72%
AST
OVER 1.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
9.9
RPG
9.4
APG
1.2
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 2 | 12 | 59% | +7.1% | low |
| Mitchell Robinson | 2 | 9 | 50% | -1.7% | low |
| Donovan Clingan | 4 | 9 | 13% | -39.2% | medium |
| Neemias Queta | 2 | 7 | 67% |
Capela poised for solid rebounding game in home matchup against Lakers
Clint Capela is trending upward with 19 mpg in his last 5 games, averaging 5.2 ppg and 6.2 rpg compared to his season averages of 3.8 ppg and 4.6 rpg. Houston has a 3-day rest advantage, and the Rockets are at home where Capela has played 59 games this season. Critically, Capela's historical matchup against the Lakers is exceptional: across 9 prior meetings, he's averaged 9.9 ppg, 9.4 rpg, and 21.4 mpg—significantly above his season norms. With increased playing time expected and favorable matchup history, Capela should exceed his season baseline.
Stat Trends
PPG
5.2(↑ from 3.8)
RPG
6.2(↑ from 4.6)
MPG
19.0(↑ from 12.4)
Key Matchup
Jaxson Hayes has logged 6.7 minutes defensively against Capela, allowing just 2 points on 50% FG. However, Capela's historical dominance in 9 prior matchups against the Lakers (9.9 ppg, 9.4 rpg) indicates the current defensive personnel may struggle to contain him at his elevated usage rate.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clint Capela▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 8 | ✓ |
Clint Capela▼ | Points | 6.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 9 | ✓ |
Clint Capela▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | — | 40% | 2 | ✓ |
reboundsOVER 5.578%HIGH
Capela averages 6.2 rpg in his last 5 games and 9.4 rpg vs. the Lakers historically. Playing at home with 3-day rest, he's positioned to exceed this line.
pointsOVER 6.5
ML Scout Analysis
REB4.5OVER37%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/1663%+18.6% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM; Value edge shifted +0.444▼
FTA2UNDER58%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 5x3/1619%▼
PRA10.5UNDER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/1650%▼
P+R10UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x6/1638%▼
PTS2.5OVER3%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/1663%+7.5% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.220▼
P+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x7/1644%▼
BLK1UNDER35%gbt_blocksWeak Leg (8/20)7/1644%▼
R+A7UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x5/1631%▼
AST1UNDER19%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x6/1638%▼
Featured Pick
Clint Capela
Rebounds OVER 5.5HIGH
Capela's last 5 average is 6.2 rpg, he's played 19 mpg recently (vs. 12.4 season), and historically averages 9.4 rpg vs. the Lakers in 9 prior meetings. Home court, 3-day rest, and a 115.32 opponent defense rating create an ideal setup for rebounding success.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.