C
Deandre Ayton▲
LAL · C
PPG
12.7
RPG
8.4
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
10.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.3
12.7
10.4
RPG-0.2
8.4
8.2
APG+0.1
0.9
1.0
OVER 16.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
16.5
0
DEN
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs DEN: 0 pts
6
NYK
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NYK: 6 pts
14
MIN
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIN: 14 pts
23
CHI
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs CHI: 23 pts
9
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 9 pts
Over 16.5
Under 16.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 16.5
72%
REB
UNDER 9.5
68%
AST
UNDER 1.5
75%
PRA
OVER 25.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)11 games
PPG
16.4
RPG
8.8
APG
0.9
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Williams | 4 | 21 | 83% | +15.9% | medium |
| Rudy Gobert | 3 | 20 | 50% | -17.4% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 14 | 75% | +7.6% | medium |
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 14 | 90% |
Ayton Poised for Elevated Scoring Against Houston After Recent Injury Recovery
Ayton was cleared from the injury report on March 9 and has shown encouraging recent form, particularly the 23-point outburst against Chicago on March 12. However, his last 5 games average just 10.4 PPG despite a season average of 12.7 PPG, indicating some regression. Against Houston specifically, he's averaged 16.4 PPG across 11 matchups, suggesting strong positive history. Houston's defense allows 26 points to Alperen Sengun in recent matchups, and with Ayton's elite 67.2% season FG%, he should find favorable scoring opportunities in this away contest.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.4(↑ from 12.7)
RPG
8.2(→ from 8.4)
FG%
(→ from 67.2)
vs HOU (Career)
(↑ from 16.4)
Key Matchup
Alperen Sengun is the primary defender with 22.6 minutes of assignment data, allowing 26 points on 70.6% FG. This favorable matchup on a defender who struggles against opposing centers works in Ayton's favor given his elite shooting efficiency.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deandre Ayton▼ | Points | 16.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 7 | ✗ |
Deandre Ayton▼ | Rebounds | 9.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 11 | ✗ |
Deandre Ayton▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Deandre Ayton▼ | PRA | 25.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 40% | 18 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x8/1942%▼
PTS11.5UNDER27%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/1953%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
REB6.5UNDER15%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x13/1968%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Value edge shifted -0.417▼
PRA19.5UNDER20%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/1953%▼
P+A12OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)10/1953%▼
R+A8.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/1953%▼
Featured Pick
Deandre Ayton
Points OVER 16.5MEDIUM
Ayton's 11-game average against Houston (16.4 PPG) sits just below this line, providing modest value. His 67.2% season FG% and recent 23-point game show upside, though the last 5-game average of 10.4 PPG creates some concern. The matchup against Sengun (who allows 26 PPG) is favorable.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.