C
Dorian Finney-Smith▼
HOU · C
PPG
3.1
RPG
2.7
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
4.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.1
3.1
4.2
RPG+1.3
2.7
4.0
APG+1.1
0.9
2.0
OVER 5.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
5.5
5
WAS
2026-03-02
2026-03-02 vs WAS: 5 pts
5
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 5 pts
8
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 8 pts
3
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 3 pts
0
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 0 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 5.5
62%
REB
OVER 3.5
68%
AST
OVER 1.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)9 games
PPG
9.2
RPG
4.2
APG
1.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | 3 | 7 | 40% | +7.5% | medium |
| Jerami Grant | 1 | 4 | 88% | +42.5% | low |
| LeBron James | 3 | 4 | 63% | +17.5% | medium |
| Kon Knueppel | 2 | 4 | 150% |
Finney-Smith's Recent Surge in Playing Time Offers Modest Upside vs. Lakers
Dorian Finney-Smith has seen a significant increase in minutes recently (24.2 MPG in last 5 games vs. 17.7 season average), translating to improved per-game production across the board. However, his overall season efficiency remains poor (31.1% FG, 25.6% 3P), and he's on a downward trend despite the minutes bump. Against the Lakers, he has strong career numbers (9.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG over 9 games at 30.8 MPG), suggesting favorable matchup history, though recent inconsistency (0 points vs. NOP on 27 minutes) raises durability concerns.
Stat Trends
PPG
4.2(↓ from 3.1)
RPG
4.0(↑ from 2.7)
APG
2.0(↑ from 0.9)
MPG
24.2(↑ from 17.7)
Key Matchup
LeBron James has defended Finney-Smith extensively (11.5 minutes) in prior matchups, holding him to 12 points on 45.5% FG—a reasonable defensive assignment that neither heavily suppresses nor enables scoring. The Lakers' 115.3 defensive rating is slightly above average, providing a neutral defensive environment.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Points | 5.5 | OVER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | 8 | ✓ |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Dorian Finney-Smith▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
pointsOVER 5.5
ML Scout Analysis
REB3UNDER54%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x5/1729%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
3PA3UNDER56%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x4/1724%▼
P+R6.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x7/1741%▼
PRA7UNDER20%gbt_praWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x6/1735%▼
P+A5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x5/1729%▼
PTS3UNDER12%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x6/1735%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x8/1747%▼
AST1UNDER17%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)8/1747%▼
Featured Pick
Dorian Finney-Smith
Rebounds OVER 3.5MEDIUM
Finney-Smith's recent rebounding surge (4.0 in last 5 games) combined with his strong career rebounding average vs. the Lakers (4.2 RPG) and consistent home rebounding metrics (2.73 mean) make the rebound line exploitable. His elevated minutes (24.2 recent MPG) provide sufficient opportunity to hit this threshold even if scoring remains inconsistent.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.