SG
Josh Okogie▲
HOU · SG
PPG
5.0
RPG
2.7
APG
0.8
L5 PPG
3.0
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.0
5.0
3.0
RPG-0.7
2.7
2.0
APG+0.4
0.8
1.2
UNDER 6.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
6.5
0
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 0 pts
0
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 0 pts
0
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 0 pts
12
DEN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs DEN: 12 pts
3
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 3 pts
Over 6.5
Under 6.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 6.5
72%
REB
UNDER 3.5
68%
AST
UNDER 1.5
70%
3PM
OVER 0.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)18 games
PPG
4.7
RPG
2.4
APG
0.9
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 4 | 12 | 50% | -0.4% | medium |
| Payton Pritchard | 2 | 10 | 55% | +2.2% | low |
| Cade Cunningham | 2 | 9 | 100% | +56.7% | low |
| Deni Avdija | 3 | 8 | 40% |
Okogie in Limited Role Against Lakers — Low-Volume Scoring Play
Josh Okogie is averaging just 3.0 PPG over his last 5 games on 12.8 MPG, a significant decline from his season 5.0 PPG average on 18.7 minutes. Against the Lakers specifically, he's posted 4.7 PPG across 18 matchups on 14 MPG, suggesting continued limited usage. With Houston well-rested (3 days) and Okogie in a rotation role, he projects as a bench contributor with upside only if given extended minutes.
Stat Trends
PPG
3.0(↓ from 5.0)
MPG
12.8(↓ from 18.7)
3P%
1.1(→ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
Austin Reaves has been Okogie's primary defender in recent matchups, holding him to 4 PPG on 22.2% FG across 11 minutes. LeBron James also has defensive reps on Okogie, allowing 6 PPG on 66.7% FG, though the sample is minimal.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Okogie▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
Josh Okogie▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 0 | ✓ |
Josh Okogie▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | — | 60% | 2 | ✗ |
Josh Okogie▼ | 3PM | 0.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 6.5
ML Scout Analysis
PRA7UNDER21%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x5/1050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+R7UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x4/1040%▼
P+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x4/1040%▼
PTS3UNDER39%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x4/1040%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
REB2.5OVER8%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 3x5/1050%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
3PM1UNDER55%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x3/1030%▼
3PA2UNDER33%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 6x3/1030%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
R+A3UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 5x4/1040%▼
Featured Pick
Josh Okogie
Points UNDER 6.5MEDIUM
Okogie's sharp decline to 3.0 PPG over 5 games on 12.8 MPG, combined with 4.7 PPG average vs Lakers and Austin Reaves' strong defensive containment, makes the UNDER the safer play. The line assumes higher volume than recent trends support.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.