PF
LeBron James▼
LAL · PF
PPG
21.2
RPG
5.7
APG
7.0
L5 PPG
19.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-2.0
21.2
19.2
RPG-0.5
5.7
5.2
APG-0.6
7.0
6.4
UNDER 23.5 PTS
Last 5 games
4
Current Streak
4
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
23.5
24
SAC
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs SAC: 24 pts
21
NOP
2026-03-03
2026-03-03 vs NOP: 21 pts
16
DEN
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs DEN: 16 pts
18
CHI
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs CHI: 18 pts
17
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 17 pts
Over 23.5
Under 23.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 23.5
72%
AST
OVER 6.5
68%
REB
UNDER 6.5
65%
PRA
UNDER 30.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)16 games
PPG
23.3
RPG
7.3
APG
7.9
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins | 4 | 14 | 100% | +28.7% | medium |
| Amen Thompson | 3 | 12 | 89% | +37.6% | medium |
| Royce O'Neale | 4 | 11 | 75% | -1.3% | medium |
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 10 | 43% |
LeBron's Scoring Slump Continues Against Houston's Stingy Defense
LeBron is in a clear downward trend, averaging just 18.7 PPG over his last 10 games compared to his 21.2 season average. Against Houston, his recent form becomes even more concerning—he's averaged 23.3 PPG in 16 matchups, but the Rockets' elite defensive rating (109.63) and strong scoring suppression (-1.315) should limit him further. Jabari Smith Jr., Houston's primary perimeter defender, has held opponents to 17 PPG on just 35% FG, making this a challenging assignment for LeBron in his current slump.
Stat Trends
PPG
19.2(↓ from 21.2)
APG
6.4(↓ from 7.0)
RPG
5.2(→ from 5.7)
Key Matchup
Jabari Smith Jr. is the key assignment, holding opponents to just 17 PPG on 35% FG across 35.2 MPG. Houston's team defense (109.63 rating, -1.315 scoring suppression) creates a difficult environment for LeBron, especially given his current scoring slump.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LeBron James▼ | Points | 23.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 18 | ✓ |
LeBron James▼ | Assists | 6.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 5 | ✗ |
LeBron James▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 5 | ✓ |
LeBron James▼ | PRA | 30.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 28 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
3PM1.5UNDER5%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 9x4/2020%+23.1% edge▼
P+R25.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
PTS23.5UNDER43%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)3/2015%+28.5% edge▼
REB7.5UNDER24%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)5/2025%+13.5% edge▼
PRA39.5UNDER47%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)4/2020%+26.7% edge▼
AST9.5UNDER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)4/2020%+22.4% edge▼
3PA3UNDER36%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼
FTM3.5UNDER12%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 6x10/2050%▼
P+A26UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼
STL1.5UNDER45%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 7x7/2035%▼
FTA5OVER3%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 5x8/2040%▼
R+A13.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
LeBron James
Points UNDER 23.5MEDIUM
LeBron's last-10 average of 18.7 PPG represents a significant gap below 23.5, and Houston's elite perimeter defense—particularly Jabari Smith Jr.'s matchup—should continue limiting his scoring. While he's averaged 23.3 PPG vs. Houston historically, his current form suggests he'll underperform that trend.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.