SF
Marcus Smart▲
LAL · SF
PPG
9.6
RPG
2.9
APG
2.8
L5 PPG
10.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.2
9.6
10.8
RPG-0.5
2.9
2.4
APG-0.4
2.8
2.4
OVER 10.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
10.5
9
DEN
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs DEN: 9 pts
11
IND
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs IND: 11 pts
5
NYK
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NYK: 5 pts
8
MIN
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIN: 8 pts
21
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 21 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 10.5
72%
AST
OVER 2.5
68%
REB
UNDER 2.5
65%
STL
OVER 1.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
6.8
RPG
2.4
APG
4.3
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 3 | 17 | 94% | +26.8% | medium |
| James Harden | 3 | 14 | 60% | +10.1% | medium |
| Kevin Durant | 3 | 13 | 94% | +37.9% | medium |
| Ja Morant | 2 | 12 | 33% |
Smart Heating Up Against Houston, Recent Momentum Suggests OVER on Points
Marcus Smart is trending upward with 10.8 PPG over his last 5 games, including a 21-point explosion against Denver on March 14th. Against Houston in 8 prior matchups, he's averaged 6.75 PPG in just 27 MPG, but tonight he's projected for 31.2 MPG with increased playing time. The Rockets' defense rates 109.63 (league average), and while Jabari Smith Jr. has limited Smart to 6 points in 5.1 minutes of prior defensive matchups, Smart's recent momentum and expanded role should support scoring above the 10.5 line.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.8(↑ from 9.6)
Minutes
31.2(↑ from 28.5)
3P Made
2.1(↑ from 1.6)
Key Matchup
Jabari Smith Jr. has limited Smart to 6 points in 5.1 minutes of prior matchups with perfect field goal defense. However, Smart's elevated role (31.2 MPG) and recent offensive form suggest greater exposure beyond Smith's defensive coverage.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marcus Smart▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 11 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 1 | ✗ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 0 | ✓ |
Marcus Smart▼ | Steals | 1.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
REB2.5UNDER20%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (14/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R11.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)9/2045%▼
PRA14.5UNDER18%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
3PM1.5OVER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x10/2050%▼
3PA5UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 3x6/2030%▼
P+A12UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼
AST3UNDER5%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)8/2040%▼
FTM0.5UNDER13%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
FTA1.5OVER5%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x10/2050%▼
PTS9OVER0%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
STL1UNDER48%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
R+A5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
Featured Pick
Marcus Smart
Points OVER 10.5MEDIUM
Smart is in excellent form (10.8 PPG last 5) with increased minutes (31.2 MPG) and momentum from a 21-point game. While Houston's Jabari Smith Jr. has historically defended well, the expanded role and upward trend support the OVER, though past Houston matchups (6.75 PPG average) provide some caution.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.