SG
Reed Sheppard▼
HOU · SG
PPG
13.4
RPG
2.9
APG
3.2
L5 PPG
13.6
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+0.2
13.4
13.6
RPG+1.1
2.9
4.0
APG0.0
3.2
3.2
OVER 12.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
12.5
17
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 17 pts
17
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 17 pts
7
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 7 pts
9
DEN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs DEN: 9 pts
18
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 18 pts
Over 12.5
Under 12.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 12.5
68%
AST
UNDER 3.5
62%
REB
OVER 2.5
70%
3PM
OVER 2.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)2 games
PPG
13.5
RPG
2.5
APG
3.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown | 4 | 14 | 50% | +6.8% | medium |
| Nique Clifford | 4 | 13 | 56% | +6.8% | medium |
| Davion Mitchell | 2 | 12 | 33% | -9.9% | low |
| John Konchar | 3 | 10 | 0% |
Sheppard's Recent Surge Faces Defensive Test in Home Matchup vs Lakers
Reed Sheppard is riding a hot streak with 17.9 PPG over his last 10 games and 30.8 MPG in his last 5, a significant uptick from his 13.4 season average. However, his recent form shows volatility—he dropped 9 points on Denver after scoring 18 against New Orleans. Against the Lakers' 115.32 defensive rating, Sheppard has historically performed at 13.5 PPG in two prior matchups. With Houston enjoying 3 days of rest and operating at home, Sheppard should see meaningful minutes, but the Lakers' defensive scheme (evidenced by Austin Reaves holding him to 0.96 PPG per minute) presents a meaningful constraint.
Stat Trends
PPG
13.6(↓ from 13.4)
Minutes
30.8(↑ from 26.0)
Last 10 PPG
17.9(↑ from 13.4)
Assists
3.2(→ from 3.2)
Key Matchup
Austin Reaves has logged the most defensive minutes against Sheppard (5.2 min) and allowed just 0.96 PPG per minute on 50% FG. This is the primary defensive concern, though overall Lakers' defensive rating (115.32) sits below league average, offering opportunity.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reed Sheppard▼ | Points | 12.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 11 | ✗ |
Reed Sheppard▼ | Assists | 3.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
Reed Sheppard▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
Reed Sheppard▼ | 3PM | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 1 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA21.5UNDER2%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x12/2060%▼
PTS13.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x11/2055%▼
REB3.5OVER6%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
STL1.5UNDER16%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (9/20)11/2055%▼
3PM2.5UNDER33%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)14/2070%▼
P+R19UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
AST3.5OVER2%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼
R+A8.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)11/2055%▼
P+A20UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼
3PA8UNDER22%gbtAvoid (7/20)UNDER 2x9/2045%▼
Featured Pick
Reed Sheppard
Rebounds OVER 2.5HIGH
Sheppard's last-5 average is 4.0 RPG and last-10 is 4.1 RPG, well above the line. His home rebound rate (3.26) and recent elevated minutes (30.8 MPG) create consistent path to clearing 2.5. The data shows strong recent rebounding production with low variance (1.64 std dev last-10).
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.