PF
Rui Hachimura▼
LAL · PF
PPG
11.5
RPG
3.3
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
11.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.3
11.5
11.2
RPG-0.1
3.3
3.2
APG+0.1
0.9
1.0
UNDER 10.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
10.5
13
IND
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs IND: 13 pts
13
NYK
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs NYK: 13 pts
9
MIN
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs MIN: 9 pts
15
CHI
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs CHI: 15 pts
6
DEN
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs DEN: 6 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 10.5
65%
REB
UNDER 3.5
62%
3PM
OVER 1.8
58%
AST
UNDER 1.5
72%
vs ??? (H2H)11 games
PPG
12.8
RPG
5.1
APG
1.2
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle | 4 | 18 | 62% | +1.8% | medium |
| Saddiq Bey | 3 | 11 | 63% | -1.1% | medium |
| P.J. Washington | 3 | 10 | 57% | +6.0% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 2 | 10 | 79% |
Hachimura Downtrend Continues Against Houston's Solid Defense
Rui Hachimura is trending down significantly, averaging 9.7 PPG over his last 10 games compared to 11.5 on the season, with concerning recent performances (6 pts vs DEN, 9 pts vs MIN). He plays away in Houston where he historically scores better (13.13 away vs 10.32 home), but the Rockets' defense posts a 109.63 rating with solid three-point suppression (-0.604). Against Houston specifically, Hachimura has averaged 12.8 PPG over 11 meetings, though recent form suggests a lower ceiling for this matchup.
Stat Trends
PPG
11.2(↓ from 11.5)
Last 10 PPG
9.7(↓ from 11.5)
Rebounds Per Game
2.4(↓ from 3.3)
Three-Point %
0.4(→ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
Jabari Smith Jr. will handle primary assignment with 12.4 minutes data allowing 15 pts on 62.5% FG against Hachimura previously. However, Houston's overall 109.63 defensive rating is middle-tier, and Hachimura's away splits historically favor scoring (13.13 vs 10.32 home), creating conflicting signals.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rui Hachimura▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 6 | ✓ |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
Rui Hachimura▼ | 3PM | 1.8 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
Rui Hachimura▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | — | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
pointsUNDER 10.5
ML Scout Analysis
PTS14.5UNDER54%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)3/2015%+33.5% edge▼
REB4.5UNDER50%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (13/20)3/2015%+25.3% edge▼
P+R12UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (13/20)7/2035%▼
3PM2.5UNDER16%gbt_three_pmDecent Leg (12/20)4/2020%+11.3% edge▼
PRA10.5OVER7%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%▼
P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼
3PA3UNDER0%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
R+A3UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)7/2035%▼
Featured Pick
Rui Hachimura
Assists UNDER 1.5HIGH
Hachimura's season assist average of 0.89 and recent mean of 0.8 are dramatically below this line. His role as a rotation PF limits playmaking responsibility, and even in favorable away environments his assist projection remains constrained. Sharp value on the under.
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