SG
Tari Eason▲
HOU · SG
PPG
10.6
RPG
6.2
APG
1.6
L5 PPG
5.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-5.2
10.6
5.4
RPG-0.2
6.2
6.0
APG-0.6
1.6
1.0
UNDER 10.5 PTS
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
10.5
5
POR
2026-03-06
2026-03-06 vs POR: 5 pts
2
SAS
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAS: 2 pts
8
TOR
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs TOR: 8 pts
8
DEN
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs DEN: 8 pts
4
NOP
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs NOP: 4 pts
Over 10.5
Under 10.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 10.5
72%
REB
OVER 6.5
68%
3PM
UNDER 1.5
75%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
7.9
RPG
5.9
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić | 3 | 14 | 46% | -2.6% | medium |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 2 | 9 | 57% | +16.0% | low |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2 | 9 | 50% | +5.1% | low |
| Cooper Flagg | 3 | 8 | 17% |
Eason Struggles Recently as Scoring Dips—Low Volume Expected vs Lakers
Tari Eason is in a significant scoring slump, averaging just 5.4 PPG over his last 5 games despite maintaining 23.4 MPG. His season average of 10.6 PPG masks a concerning downward trend, with recent 10-game average at 6.5 PPG. Against the Lakers specifically, he's averaged only 7.9 PPG across 8 matchups on just 20.3 MPG, suggesting limited offensive opportunities. With LeBron James having defended him for 12.6 minutes and allowed 24 points on 47.6% FG in limited sample, there's minimal floor for volume tonight.
Stat Trends
PPG
5.4(↓ from 10.6)
RPG
6.0(→ from 6.2)
3PM
0.4(↓ from 1.7)
Key Matchup
LeBron James is the primary defender in this matchup, having logged 12.6 minutes against Eason previously. The Lakers defense rates at 115.32 DEFRTG, slightly above league average, offering no particular advantage for Eason's recent low-volume scoring.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tari Eason▼ | Points | 10.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 5 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 9 | ✓ |
Tari Eason▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | UNDER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 0 | ✓ |
pointsUNDER 10.572%HIGH
Last 5 games: 5.4 PPG average. vs Lakers historically: 7.9 PPG on limited 20.3 MPG. Current form and matchup history both point to sub-10.5 range.
ML Scout Analysis
PRA14.5OVER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)11/2055%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge changed +0.035▼
P+R14.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
PTS8.5UNDER34%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
REB5.5OVER18%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)13/2065%+12.4% edgePrediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Value edge shifted +0.311▼
P+A9.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%▼
R+A7.5OVER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)UNDER 3x11/2055%▼
Featured Pick
Tari Eason
Points UNDER 10.5MEDIUM
Eason's last 5-game average (5.4 PPG) is 48% below his season mark, and vs Lakers he's historically shot 7.9 PPG on minimal volume. Recent form strongly favors the under, though his season averages provide some hedge.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.