C
Guerschon Yabusele▼
CHI · C
PPG
4.8
RPG
3.2
APG
0.9
L5 PPG
10.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+5.4
4.8
10.2
RPG+2.8
3.2
6.0
APG+0.7
0.9
1.6
UNDER 9.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
9.5
18
OKC
2026-03-03
2026-03-03 vs OKC: 18 pts
16
PHX
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs PHX: 16 pts
4
SAC
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAC: 4 pts
2
GSW
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs GSW: 2 pts
11
LAC
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs LAC: 11 pts
Over 9.5
Under 9.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 9.5
68%
REB
OVER 5.5
72%
AST
OVER 2.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)3 games
PPG
9.3
RPG
4.3
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 5 | 10 | 75% | +34.9% | medium |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 5 | 8 | 50% | +2.8% | medium |
| Mitchell Robinson | 1 | 7 | 100% | +59.9% | low |
| Victor Wembanyama | 2 | 7 | 69% |
Yabusele's Recent Surge Faces Reality Check Against Grizzlies Defense
Guerschon Yabusele has dramatically elevated his production over the last 10 games, averaging 10.3 PPG and 6.8 RPG compared to his season averages of 4.8 PPG and 3.2 RPG, fueled by increased minutes (25.6 MPG vs 13.3 season). However, his trend is marked as 'down,' with recent volatility evident in his last three games (11 pts, 2 pts, 4 pts). Against Memphis, he's averaged 9.3 PPG on 17.7 MPG in three prior matchups, suggesting limited offensive impact despite elevated opportunity. Memphis' defense allows just 71.8% of opponent scoring and suppresses three-pointers at 34.4%, creating headwinds for his shooting (36.1% from three on season).
Stat Trends
PPG
10.2(↓ from 4.8)
RPG
6.0(↑ from 3.2)
APG
1.6(↑ from 0.9)
3P Made
2.1(↑ from 0.9)
Key Matchup
Key defender data is limited (Cedric Coward 1.2 mins, Cam Spencer 0.2 mins with minimal sample sizes), so no specific defender matchup data available. Memphis' overall league-ranked defense (118.42 DRtg) will be the primary resistance factor rather than individual matchup concerns.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guerschon Yabusele▼ | Points | 9.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 40% | 13 | ✗ |
Guerschon Yabusele▼ | Rebounds | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 40% | 0 | ✗ |
Guerschon Yabusele▼ | Assists | 2.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 20% | 0 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 9.568%MEDIUM
Despite last-5 average of 10.2 PPG, recent games show volatility (11, 2, 4 pts) and vs Memphis specifically he's averaged just 9.3 PPG on limited minutes. Memphis' strong scoring suppression (71.8%) limits upside.
reboundsOVER 5.572%HIGH
Last-5 average of 6.0 RPG and last-10 of 6.8 RPG represent substantial gains from 3.2 season average. At home with 3 days rest, rebound opportunities align with recent elevated production pace.
assistsOVER 2.565%MEDIUM
ML Scout Analysis
PTS12.5UNDER25%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)UNDER 2x5/2025%+18.1% edge▼
REB8.5UNDER33%gbt_reboundsDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%+14.4% edge▼
3PA5UNDER7%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 4x9/2045%▼
PRA15.5OVER29%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
P+R16UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼
P+A12UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x7/2035%▼
R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)8/2040%▼
AST1UNDER2%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 3x7/2035%▼
FTM2UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
FTA2UNDER1%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
3PM1.5OVER13%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)13/2065%▼
Featured Pick
Guerschon Yabusele
Rebounds OVER 5.5MEDIUM
Yabusele's rebounding trajectory is the clearest trend in his elevated recent role. Last-10 average of 6.8 RPG and last-5 of 6.0 RPG, combined with increased minutes (26.2 vs 13.3 season) and home court advantage with 3 days rest, supports beating the 5.5 line. Memphis allows a neutral rebounding environment based on available data.
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