PF
Leonard Miller▲
CHI · PF
PPG
4.6
RPG
2.5
APG
0.5
L5 PPG
10.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+6.2
4.6
10.8
RPG+4.9
2.5
7.4
APG+0.5
0.5
1.0
OVER 11.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
11.5
8
PHX
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs PHX: 8 pts
0
SAC
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAC: 0 pts
17
GSW
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs GSW: 17 pts
15
LAL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs LAL: 15 pts
14
LAC
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs LAC: 14 pts
Over 11.5
Under 11.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 11.5
72%
REB
OVER 6.5
68%
AST
UNDER 1.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)2 games
PPG
2.0
RPG
1.0
APG
0.5
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Rupert | 2 | 6 | 57% | -11.1% | low |
| Jaylin Williams | 3 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | medium |
| LeBron James | 1 | 5 | 0% | -54.0% | low |
| Bobby Portis | 1 | 5 | 79% | +3.1% |
Leonard Miller Surging as Starter with Increased Minutes at Home
Miller has experienced a dramatic uptick in production over his last 5 games, averaging 10.8 PPG and 7.4 RPG on 26 minutes per game—more than double his season averages. He's posted three straight games of 14+ points and 8+ rebounds despite limited season-long role (10.2 MPG). Playing at home where he averages 3.47 PPG, he faces a Grizzlies defense ranked 118.42 in defensive rating with modest scoring suppression (0.718). The Bulls have 3 days rest while Memphis is also well-rested, but Miller's recent trajectory and expanded role suggest elevated floor.
Stat Trends
PPG
10.8(↑ from 4.6)
RPG
7.4(↑ from 2.5)
MPG
26.0(↑ from 10.2)
Key Matchup
Memphis allows a 118.42 defensive rating with 0.718 scoring suppression, suggesting a beatable opponent. However, no specific defender matchup data is available to assess positional defense quality.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Leonard Miller▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 60% | 10 | ✗ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 80% | 7 | ✓ |
Leonard Miller▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
pointsOVER 11.572%HIGH
Last 5 games average 10.8 PPG with 36, 31, and 38 minutes of play. Recent trajectory and expanded role support surpassing this line at home.
reboundsOVER 6.568%MEDIUM
Last 5 average 7.4 RPG with three consecutive games of 8+ rebounds. Playing 26 MPG recently versus 10.2 season average provides significant upside.
assistsUNDER 1.565%MEDIUM
Season mean is 0.55 APG, last 5 mean is 1.0 APG. Home splits show 0.67 APG. Limited playmaking role despite increased minutes.
ML Scout Analysis
PTS16.5UNDER21%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (13/20)4/1822%+27.3% edge▼
FTM1.5UNDER23%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼
PRA21OVER6%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼
P+R19.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)OVER 2x10/1856%▼
P+A14.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)9/1850%▼
REB8.5UNDER11%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)5/1828%+18.7% edge▼
AST1OVER11%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (11/20)8/1844%▼
FTA2UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)4/1822%▼
R+A8OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)10/1856%▼
3PA3UNDER10%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)8/1844%▼
3PM1.5OVER5%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x8/1844%▼
Featured Pick
Leonard Miller
Rebounds OVER 6.5MEDIUM
Miller has averaged 7.4 rebounds over his last 5 games with three straight 8+ rebound performances. His minutes have more than doubled from season average (26 MPG vs 10.2 MPG), providing the volume necessary to sustain elevated rebounding totals. Home environment and well-rested Grizzlies do not suggest defensive adjustments that would suppress this trend.
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