Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun | 2 | 11 | 76% | +22.5% | low |
| Brook Lopez | 4 | 10 | 60% | +8.8% | medium |
| Evan Mobley | 1 | 9 | 63% | +11.3% | low |
| Robert Williams III | 2 | 8 | 83% |
Nick Richards has been exceptional over his last 10 games, averaging 10.6 PPG and 9.2 RPG on 25.6 MPG—a dramatic uptick from his season average of 5.7 PPG and 5.0 RPG on 14.5 MPG. Playing at home in Chicago, Richards has historically performed well, and the Bulls get 3 days of rest heading into this matchup. Memphis's defense ranks 118.42 in defensive rating, which is vulnerable to Richards' efficient interior presence (51.5% FG). With increased minutes and role expansion, Richards projects to surpass most of his seasonal thresholds.
Memphis' defensive rating of 118.42 ranks in the league's bottom tier, offering limited resistance in the paint. Richards faces no established primary defender based on available data, allowing him full operational freedom as Chicago's rotation center.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Richards▼ | Points | 10.5 | OVER | 78%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 5 | ✗ |
Nick Richards▼ | Rebounds | 8.5 | OVER | 75%HIGH | 2/2 | 60% | 6 | ✗ |
Nick Richards▼ | PRA | 20.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 60% | 12 | ✗ |
Richards has been one of the league's most improved players recently, averaging 10.8 PPG over his last 5 games. Playing at home with 3 days rest against Memphis' weak interior defense (118.42 rating), he projects comfortably above this line given his expanded 26.8 MPG usage in recent games.
| low |
| Nikola Jokić | 3 | 8 | 100% | +28.8% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jock Landale | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 2 | 2 | 7 | 60% | 70% |
| Taj Gibson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 1 | 1 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| GG Jackson | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Richards has averaged 10.8 PPG over last 5 games and 10.6 PPG over last 10. Playing at home where he averages 5.71 PPG season-long but with 26.8 MPG recent usage, he's positioned for double digits against Memphis' 118.42 defensive rating.
Richards has averaged 9.2 RPG over last 10 games and 8.8 RPG over last 5, with a recent season high of 11 rebounds. Memphis allows strong rebounding opportunities, and his 26.8 recent MPG supports another 8+ rebound night.
Combining recent averages of 10.6 PPG, 9.2 RPG, and 0.6 APG yields approximately 20.4 PRA. With 26.8 MPG and increased involvement, Richards should exceed this line against a porous Memphis defense.