Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Clingan | 3 | 13 | 72% | +13.8% | medium |
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 8 | 50% | -4.9% | medium |
| Nikola Jokić | 2 | 8 | 75% | +7.6% | low |
| Julius Randle | 4 | 7 | 65% |
Olivier-Maxence Prosper has elevated his production significantly over his last 10 games, averaging 11.8 PPG and 4.6 RPG compared to season averages of 8.6 PPG and 3.4 RPG, while minutes have increased from 17.7 to 24.7 MPG. Chicago's defense ranks poorly at 120.29 defensive rating with 1.149 scoring suppression, creating a favorable matchup. In his one prior meeting, Prosper scored just 6 points in 20 minutes, but his recent form and expanded role suggest he should exceed that performance against a permissive Bulls defense.
Josh Giddey has been the primary defender with limited effectiveness (1.8 minutes, 2 points allowed), though the sample from their one prior meeting is extremely small. Chicago's overall defensive rating of 120.29 suggests Prosper should find opportunities in a permissive environment.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 13 | ✓ |
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
Olivier-Maxence Prosper▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 0% | 1 | ✗ |
Prosper's 12.6 PPG average over the last 5 games combined with expanded minutes (24.8 MPG vs season 17.7) and Chicago's weak defense (120.29 rating) creates a favorable projection. However, his single prior matchup (6 points in 20 minutes) and standard deviation of 5.4 points introduce some volatility.
| medium |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 7 | 92% | +28.4% | low |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Smith | 1 | 4 | 8 | 80% | 80% |
| Leonard Miller | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Nick Richards | 1 | 2 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| Lachlan Olbrich | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| Isaac Okoro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
Prosper is averaging 12.6 PPG over his last 5 games with expanded 24.8 MPG, well above the season average of 8.6 PPG. Chicago's weak 120.29 defensive rating and 1.149 scoring suppression provide a favorable environment.
His last 5-game average of 4.2 RPG and last 10-game average of 4.6 RPG bracket this line, with increased playing time supporting consistency in rebounding production.
Prosper has hit 1.6 threes per game over the last 5 games on a strong 39.6% three-point percentage, and Chicago's 1.184 three-point suppression is still permissive overall.