PF
Patrick Williams▼
CHI · PF
PPG
6.9
RPG
2.9
APG
1.4
L5 PPG
6.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.1
6.9
6.8
RPG-1.3
2.9
1.6
APG+0.8
1.4
2.2
UNDER 6.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
6.5
6
DET
2026-02-21
2026-02-21 vs DET: 6 pts
10
NYK
2026-02-22
2026-02-22 vs NYK: 10 pts
11
CHA
2026-02-24
2026-02-24 vs CHA: 11 pts
5
SAC
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAC: 5 pts
2
LAC
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs LAC: 2 pts
Over 6.5
Under 6.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 6.5
62%
AST
OVER 1.5
68%
REB
UNDER 2.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)6 games
PPG
8.2
RPG
4.7
APG
1.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo | 4 | 13 | 34% | -5.1% | medium |
| OG Anunoby | 4 | 13 | 85% | +23.3% | medium |
| Miles Bridges | 4 | 13 | 78% | +25.8% | medium |
| Zion Williamson | 3 | 12 | 63% |
Williams Struggles Continue Against Stout Grizzlies Defense
Patrick Williams is in a clear downward trend, averaging just 6.8 PPG over his last 5 games despite increased minutes (22 MPG). His recent output has been inconsistent, with a 2-point dud against LAC just two games ago. Memphis's defense is formidable with a 118.42 defensive rating and strong three-point suppression (34.4%), which could limit Williams's already-modest 36.6% three-point stroke. However, Williams has performed better against Memphis historically, averaging 8.2 PPG across 6 prior meetings, suggesting some positional advantage that could provide modest floor.
Stat Trends
PPG
6.8(↓ from 6.9)
Assists
2.2(↑ from 1.4)
Rebounds
1.6(↓ from 2.9)
Key Matchup
Memphis's defense allows just 71.8% of opponent points (strong suppression) with elite three-point defense at 34.4% suppression rate. No specific defender matchup data available, but the Grizzlies' overall defensive scheme should limit Williams's offensive rhythm.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Williams▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 9 | ✗ |
Patrick Williams▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 20% | 2 | ✓ |
Patrick Williams▼ | Rebounds | 2.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 0 | ✓ |
pointsUNDER 6.5
ML Scout Analysis
PTS6UNDER7%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%▼
3PA4UNDER57%gbtDecent Leg (12/20)6/2030%▼
PRA10UNDER24%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)9/2045%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+A8UNDER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)7/2035%▼
R+A4UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)7/2035%▼
P+R8.5OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼
REB2OVER7%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
AST1OVER16%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW▼
3PM1UNDER59%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 8x7/2035%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
Featured Pick
Patrick Williams
Assists OVER 1.5MEDIUM
Williams has averaged 2.3 APG over last 5 games and 2.3 APG over last 10, demonstrating a clear uptick in playmaking role. Increased minutes (22 MPG) provide the floor for continued assist opportunities, and the line appears underpriced relative to recent production trends.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.