SG
Tre Jones▲
CHI · SG
PPG
12.8
RPG
2.9
APG
5.4
L5 PPG
18.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+6.0
12.8
18.8
RPG+0.3
2.9
3.2
APG-0.8
5.4
4.6
UNDER 15.5 PTS
Last 5 games
3
Current Streak
3
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
15.5
21
PHX
2026-03-05
2026-03-05 vs PHX: 21 pts
12
SAC
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs SAC: 12 pts
22
GSW
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs GSW: 22 pts
18
LAL
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs LAL: 18 pts
21
LAC
2026-03-13
2026-03-13 vs LAC: 21 pts
Over 15.5
Under 15.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 15.5
68%
AST
UNDER 5.5
62%
PRA
UNDER 22.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)15 games
PPG
8.1
RPG
2.8
APG
4.1
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 17 | 47% | -13.1% | medium |
| Daniss Jenkins | 3 | 15 | 60% | +4.8% | medium |
| Trae Young | 3 | 12 | 54% | -12.3% | medium |
| Ryan Rollins | 3 | 11 | 70% |
Jones Riding Hot Streak at Home Against Grizzlies Defense
Tre Jones is in excellent form, averaging 18.8 PPG over his last 5 games with improved efficiency and 31.2 MPG. However, his historical matchup against Memphis is concerning—he averages just 8.1 PPG in 15 prior meetings, significantly below his season average of 12.8. The Grizzlies' defense ranks well defensively (118.42 rating) with strong three-point suppression (0.344), which could limit Jones's perimeter opportunities. Playing at home typically boosts his scoring (10.96 PPG home vs 15.14 PPG away), but the sample against Memphis suggests a ceiling closer to 12-14 points.
Stat Trends
PPG
18.8(↑ from 12.8)
APG
4.6(↓ from 5.4)
vs MEM (Career)
(↓ from 8.1)
Key Matchup
Jaylen Wells has limited defensive data (0.5 minutes, 3 pts allowed), so no specific defender matchup is reliably established. However, Memphis's overall defensive structure—118.42 rating with elite three-point suppression (0.344)—aligns with Jones's historical struggles in this matchup.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tre Jones▼ | Points | 15.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 17 | ✗ |
Tre Jones▼ | Assists | 5.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 5 | ✓ |
Tre Jones▼ | PRA | 22.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 20% | 27 | ✗ |
pointsUNDER 15.568%MEDIUM
ML Scout Analysis
PTS17.5UNDER1%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%▼
AST6.5UNDER27%gbt_assistsDecent Leg (12/20)3/2015%+34.3% edge▼
PRA30.5UNDER10%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)5/2025%+20.4% edge▼
P+R20.5OVER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)11/2055%▼
P+A21.5OVER0%gbt_paDecent Leg (12/20)12/2060%▼
3PA3UNDER42%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)6/2030%▼
R+A8.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 2x11/2055%▼
STL1UNDER37%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)7/2035%▼
REB3.5OVER9%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 4x9/2045%▼
FTM2UNDER19%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼
FTA3UNDER3%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Tre Jones
Points UNDER 15.5MEDIUM
Jones's recent hot streak (18.8 PPG L5) is impressive, but his career performance vs Memphis (8.1 PPG in 15 games) represents a stark deviation. The Grizzlies' strong perimeter defense and his home/away splits suggest he'll revert closer to his historical average in this matchup, likely landing in the 12-14 range.
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