PG
CJ McCollum▲
ATL · PG
PPG
18.7
RPG
3.5
APG
3.6
L5 PPG
18.4
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.3
18.7
18.4
RPG+0.7
3.5
4.2
APG+1.0
3.6
4.6
OVER 20.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
20.5
18
MIL
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MIL: 18 pts
17
PHI
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs PHI: 17 pts
13
DAL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs DAL: 13 pts
14
BKN
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs BKN: 14 pts
30
MIL
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIL: 30 pts
Over 20.5
Under 20.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 20.5
72%
AST
UNDER 4.5
65%
REB
OVER 3.5
68%
PRA
OVER 24.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)10 games
PPG
21.4
RPG
4.3
APG
4.7
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green | 6 | 27 | 56% | -7.8% | medium |
| Max Christie | 4 | 16 | 43% | -16.7% | medium |
| Amen Thompson | 3 | 14 | 68% | +19.0% | medium |
| Sam Hauser | 5 | 14 | 100% |
McCollum Primed for Strong Home Game vs. Magic's Vulnerable Defense
CJ McCollum is displaying upward trajectory with 18.4 PPG over his last 5 games while maintaining 4.6 APG, and he significantly outperforms at home (19.97 PPG season average vs. 17.18 away). Against the Magic's porous defense (113.91 rating, -0.326 scoring suppression), McCollum has historically excelled with 21.4 PPG across 10 matchups. Jalen Suggs, the primary defender, has allowed 15 points on 46% FG in limited minutes, offering limited resistance. Atlanta's well-rested status (2 days rest) versus Orlando's back-to-back fatigue further tilts the matchup in McCollum's favor.
Stat Trends
PPG
18.4(↑ from 18.7)
APG
4.6(↑ from 3.6)
Home PPG
18.4(→ from 20.0)
vs Magic (Career)
21.4(→ from 21.4)
Key Matchup
Jalen Suggs is the primary defender but has allowed 15 points on 46% FG in limited matchups. Magic's league-worst-adjacent defense (113.91 rating) provides minimal resistance to McCollum's consistent offensive approach, especially at State Farm Arena.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CJ McCollum▼ | Points | 20.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 20% | 9 | ✗ |
CJ McCollum▼ | Assists | 4.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 3 | ✓ |
CJ McCollum▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 40% | 2 | ✗ |
CJ McCollum▼ | PRA | 24.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 80% | 14 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
P+A23OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)11/2055%▼
PRA27.5UNDER20%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PTS17.5UNDER22%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (9/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
AST5UNDER17%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 2x7/2035%▼
3PA7UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)5/2025%▼
FTA3.5UNDER27%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
P+R21.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%▼
REB2.5UNDER15%gbt_reboundsAvoid (7/20)10/2050%▼
3PM2UNDER4%gbt_three_pmAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x6/2030%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Scorecard changed -3.0▼
R+A7.5UNDER0%gbt_raAvoid (7/20)OVER 2x9/2045%▼
FTM2UNDER24%gbtAvoid (6/20)8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
Featured Pick
CJ McCollum
Points OVER 20.5MEDIUM
McCollum's 21.4 PPG career average vs. Magic, combined with 19.97 home PPG this season and Magic's poor defensive rating (113.91), makes this a lean over. His recent 30-point outburst vs. Milwaukee shows offensive peak is attainable, and Orlando's back-to-back fatigue compounds Atlanta's advantage.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.