SG
Desmond Bane▼
ORL · SG
PPG
20.6
RPG
4.2
APG
4.2
L5 PPG
25.2
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+4.6
20.6
25.2
RPG-0.4
4.2
3.8
APG+1.6
4.2
5.8
UNDER 24.5 PTS
Last 5 games
2
Current Streak
2
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
24.5
30
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 30 pts
18
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 18 pts
35
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 35 pts
22
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 22 pts
21
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 21 pts
Over 24.5
Under 24.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 24.5
68%
AST
OVER 3.5
72%
REB
UNDER 4.5
62%
PRA
OVER 23.5
70%
vs ??? (H2H)10 games
PPG
17.9
RPG
4.6
APG
4.2
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White | 3 | 17 | 43% | -15.0% | medium |
| Mikal Bridges | 4 | 16 | 59% | +8.0% | medium |
| Pelle Larsson | 4 | 14 | 50% | -3.9% | medium |
| Aaron Nesmith | 3 | 14 | 56% |
Bane's Recent Surge Meets Defensive Matchup Challenge in Atlanta
Desmond Bane has been in excellent form over his last 5 games, averaging 25.2 PPG and 5.8 APG while shooting 48.8% from the field. However, he's operating on back-to-back rest and faces Atlanta's league-average defense (116.63 rating) with notable individual defenders in Risacher and Daniels. Historically against the Hawks, Bane has underperformed, averaging just 17.9 PPG across 10 matchups on 28.5 minutes per game. The back-to-back status combined with this specific opponent history suggests regression from his recent peak.
Stat Trends
PPG
25.2(↓ from 20.6)
APG
5.8(↑ from 4.2)
3P%
0.4(→ from 0.4)
Key Matchup
Zaccharie Risacher and Dyson Daniels have limited Bane historically, allowing only 17 and 16 points respectively in limited matchup samples. Atlanta's defensive efficiency (116.63 rating) and scoring suppression (30.3%) present a tangible headwind for scoring output, though assist opportunities should remain available.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Desmond Bane▼ | Points | 24.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 18 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Assists | 3.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 4 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Desmond Bane▼ | PRA | 23.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 100% | 24 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS21OVER4%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x9/2045%▼
REB4OVER7%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼
P+R25.5UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼
P+A25.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼
FTA5.5UNDER3%gbtWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
PRA29UNDER14%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
R+A8.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
AST4UNDER14%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 2x8/2040%▼
3PA5UNDER26%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 2x8/2040%▼
FTM5UNDER21%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%▼
STL1UNDER41%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (8/20)6/2030%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
3PM2UNDER17%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (8/20)OVER 3x8/2040%▼
Featured Pick
Desmond Bane
Assists OVER 3.5HIGH
Bane's recent assist trajectory is unmistakable—5.8 L5, 5.3 L10, compared to 4.25 season average. Even against Atlanta's defense, his playmaking role in Orlando's offense has elevated. This line offers solid value given his established trend and role expansion.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.