SF
Dyson Daniels▼
ATL · SF
PPG
11.5
RPG
6.6
APG
6.1
L5 PPG
12.6
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+1.1
11.5
12.6
RPG+1.2
6.6
7.8
APG-0.5
6.1
5.6
OVER 11.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
11.5
12
POR
2026-03-01
2026-03-01 vs POR: 12 pts
14
MIL
2026-03-04
2026-03-04 vs MIL: 14 pts
15
PHI
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs PHI: 15 pts
14
DAL
2026-03-10
2026-03-10 vs DAL: 14 pts
8
MIL
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIL: 8 pts
Over 11.5
Under 11.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 11.5
58%
REB
OVER 6.5
66%
AST
OVER 5.5
72%
PRA
OVER 20.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)7 games
PPG
10.7
RPG
6.1
APG
4.6
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 3 | 25 | 50% | -3.3% | medium |
| Cade Cunningham | 3 | 21 | 38% | -14.2% | medium |
| Tyrese Maxey | 2 | 20 | 50% | -7.3% | low |
| Brandon Ingram | 4 | 18 | 83% |
Daniels poised for balanced contribution against Magic's league-average defense
Dyson Daniels shows a downward trend overall but maintains consistent production across his last five games (12.6 PPG, 7.8 RPG, 5.6 APG). Against Orlando in seven prior meetings, he's averaged 10.7 PPG and 6.1 RPG on 31.4 minutes. The Magic's defense rates at 113.91 (league-average) with minimal three-point suppression, and Daniels will benefit from 2 days rest at home. His recent rebounds uptick (7.5 per 10 games) and assist consistency (5.6 APG last 5) position him well in a neutral matchup.
Stat Trends
PPG
12.6(↓ from 11.5)
RPG
7.8(↑ from 6.6)
APG
5.6(→ from 6.1)
Key Matchup
Orlando's defense rates at 113.91 with -0.326 scoring suppression (minimal impact). Paolo Banchero has seen 8 minutes vs Daniels historically while allowing 22 points at 45% FG, suggesting this matchup does not suppress Daniels' output.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dyson Daniels▼ | Points | 11.5 | OVER | 58%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 15 | ✓ |
Dyson Daniels▼ | Rebounds | 6.5 | OVER | 66%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 12 | ✓ |
Dyson Daniels▼ | Assists | 5.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 3 | ✗ |
Dyson Daniels▼ | PRA | 20.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 80% | 30 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PRA26.5UNDER23%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
PTS12.5UNDER21%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
P+R20OVER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (10/20)10/2050%▼
P+A17.5OVER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
REB7OVER0%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%Prediction flipped UNDER to OVER; Scorecard changed +2.0▼
3PA2UNDER38%gbtWeak Leg (9/20)5/2025%▼
FTA0.5UNDER8%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)10/2050%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
R+A13UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (8/20)8/2040%▼
AST4UNDER9%gbt_assistsAvoid (7/20)9/2045%▼
STL2UNDER35%gbt_stealsAvoid (7/20)7/2035%▼
Featured Pick
Dyson Daniels
Rebounds OVER 6.5MEDIUM
Daniels has posted 7.8 RPG over his last 5 games with tight 1.75 standard deviation, indicating reliable recent performance. Home environment provides +0.56 rebound advantage, and Orlando's defense does not feature elite rim protection. The -127 odds offer solid risk-reward for a defensible play.
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