PG
Jalen Suggs▲
ORL · PG
PPG
14.1
RPG
3.8
APG
5.3
L5 PPG
17.6
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+3.5
14.1
17.6
RPG-0.2
3.8
3.6
APG-0.5
5.3
4.8
OVER 14.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
UNDER
Streak Type
14.5
14
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 14 pts
20
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 20 pts
12
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 12 pts
28
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 28 pts
14
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 14 pts
Over 14.5
Under 14.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
OVER 14.5
72%
AST
OVER 4.5
68%
REB
UNDER 3.5
65%
3PM
OVER 2.02
70%
vs ??? (H2H)8 games
PPG
14.0
RPG
3.0
APG
3.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 4 | 20 | 62% | +15.3% | medium |
| Norman Powell | 5 | 12 | 65% | +9.6% | medium |
| De'Aaron Fox | 2 | 11 | 32% | -14.7% | low |
| Donovan Mitchell | 3 | 11 | 44% |
Suggs Surging in Back-to-Back: Can He Maintain Momentum Against Atlanta?
Jalen Suggs is riding a strong upward trend, averaging 17.6 PPG over his last 5 games—a significant jump from his 14.1 season average. He's coming off a back-to-back situation where he historically averages 24.0 PPG, though Orlando is on short rest (1 day) playing in Atlanta. The Hawks defense allows a 30.3% scoring suppression rate with a 116.63 defensive rating, but Suggs has averaged only 14.0 PPG across 8 meetings with Atlanta historically. With increased minutes (30.6 in last 5) and improved efficiency, he's positioned for a solid outing, though the away/back-to-back context creates some volatility.
Stat Trends
PPG
17.6(↑ from 14.1)
APG
4.8(→ from 5.3)
3P Made
2.3(↑ from 2.0)
Key Matchup
Atlanta's defense has faced Suggs 8 times this season; he's averaged just 14.0 PPG in those matchups, suggesting defensive familiarity may suppress his output. However, specific defender assignments show limited exclusive matchup time (Jalen Johnson: 3.3 min), indicating Suggs won't be isolated against a particular lockdown defender.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jalen Suggs▼ | Points | 14.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 40% | 8 | ✗ |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Assists | 4.5 | OVER | 68%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 5 | ✓ |
Jalen Suggs▼ | Rebounds | 3.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 40% | 6 | ✗ |
Jalen Suggs▼ | 3PM | 2.02 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 1/2 | 0% | 0 | ✗ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS13.5UNDER20%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x10/2050%▼
3PA5.5UNDER30%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)10/2050%Confidence moved HIGH to MEDIUM▼
PRA22.5UNDER8%gbt_praWeak Leg (11/20)OVER 3x10/2050%▼
P+R17UNDER0%gbt_prWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
REB4UNDER28%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)6/2030%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
STL2UNDER51%gbt_stealsWeak Leg (10/20)5/2025%Confidence moved MEDIUM to HIGH▼
R+A9.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 5x10/2050%▼
P+A19UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (10/20)9/2045%▼
AST6OVER27%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 5x8/2040%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PM2UNDER14%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)8/2040%▼
FTM1UNDER24%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)7/2035%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
FTA1UNDER1%gbtWeak Leg (8/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved MEDIUM to LOW; Scorecard changed -2.0▼
Featured Pick
Jalen Suggs
Points OVER 14.5MEDIUM
Suggs' 17.6 PPG average in last 5 games sits meaningfully above the 14.5 line, but the back-to-back scenario and Atlanta's defensive rating (116.63) create headwinds. His historic 14.0 PPG vs. Atlanta adds caution. Recent form trends positive enough to lean over, but confidence is tempered by situational factors.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.