G
Jevon Carter▲
ORL · G
PPG
5.9
RPG
1.5
APG
1.6
L5 PPG
6.6
Last 5 GamesAST
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG+0.7
5.9
6.6
RPG+0.1
1.5
1.6
APG+1.0
1.6
2.6
OVER 1.5 AST
Last 5 games
5
Current Streak
5
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
1.5
4
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 4 ast
2
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 2 ast
2
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 2 ast
2
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 2 ast
3
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 3 ast
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
AST
OVER 1.5
72%
PTS
UNDER 6.5
68%
3PM
OVER 1.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)14 games
PPG
6.3
RPG
1.6
APG
1.8
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Gillespie | 2 | 9 | 56% | +11.0% | low |
| Bub Carrington | 3 | 7 | 75% | +11.0% | medium |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 3 | 6 | 44% | +5.4% | medium |
| Daniss Jenkins | 3 | 6 | 40% |
Carter Trending Up in Expanded Role Against Hawks
Jevon Carter has seen his usage spike significantly in recent games, averaging 20 mpg over the last 5 contests compared to 14.9 for the season, and his production has followed suit with 6.6 ppg and 2.6 apg over that stretch. Against Atlanta, Carter brings a favorable 14-game history averaging 6.3 ppg and 1.8 apg on 18 mpg. The Hawks' defense allows opponents to shoot 30.3% above baseline, suggesting opportunities for a backup guard in an expanded role. However, the Magic are on a back-to-back and Carter's career b2b points average just 3.2, which could limit ceiling.
Stat Trends
PPG
6.6(↑ from 5.9)
APG
2.6(↑ from 1.6)
MPG
20.0(↑ from 14.9)
Key Matchup
Jalen Johnson has logged the most minutes against Carter (3.4) and allowed 5 points on 50% FG. Limited defensive specialization data suggests Atlanta may not have a primary perimeter stopper for this matchup.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jevon Carter▼ | Assists | 1.5 | OVER | 72%HIGH | 1/2 | 100% | 2 | ✓ |
Jevon Carter▼ | Points | 6.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 13 | ✗ |
Jevon Carter▼ | 3PM | 1.5 | OVER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 0% | 3 | ✓ |
assistsOVER 1.5
ML Scout Analysis
PRA11.5UNDER52%gbt_praDecent Leg (12/20)10/2050%Confidence moved LOW to HIGH▼
P+R9.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)8/2040%▼
PTS7UNDER8%gbt_pointsWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
3PA5UNDER60%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 7x9/2045%▼
P+A10UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)9/2045%▼
REB2UNDER21%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)OVER 2x7/2035%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
AST2UNDER20%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)9/2045%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER; Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
3PM1UNDER20%gbt_three_pmWeak Leg (9/20)UNDER 7x9/2045%▼
R+A4.5OVER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (9/20)OVER 3x11/2055%▼
Featured Pick
Jevon Carter
Assists OVER 1.5MEDIUM
Carter's last-5 average of 2.6 apg, combined with expanded 20 mpg usage and a history of 1.78 apg on the road, creates positive expected value. The assists line appears underpriced relative to his recent playmaking trends, though back-to-back fatigue presents some downside risk.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.