Last 5 games
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert | 4 | 20 | 71% | +19.9% | medium |
| Derik Queen | 4 | 19 | 57% | +5.6% | medium |
| Maxime Raynaud | 3 | 13 | 63% | +11.0% | medium |
| Jalen Duren | 2 | 11 | 63% |
Jock Landale has seen his production decline significantly over the last 5 games, averaging just 5.8 PPG and 2.6 RPG on 16 MPG—well below his season averages of 10.8 PPG and 5.9 RPG on 22.4 MPG. Against Orlando, he's averaged only 6.75 PPG and 3.25 RPG across 8 matchups on just 14.6 minutes, suggesting limited offensive opportunities in this specific pairing. The Magic's defense rates well (113.91 rating) with strong three-point suppression (-1.332), and Wendell Carter Jr. has held Landale to 12 points on 33% FG in their primary defensive matchups. Limited playing time combined with poor recent form makes aggressive scoring props unattractive.
Wendell Carter Jr. is the primary defender (16.2 minutes) and has limited Landale to 12 PPG on 33% FG in their matchups. The Magic's strong overall defense (113.91 rating) and three-point suppression (-1.332) further constrain Landale's offensive ceiling in limited minutes.
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jock Landale▼ | Points | 12.5 | UNDER | 72%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 8 | ✓ |
Jock Landale▼ | Rebounds | 7.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Jock Landale▼ | Assists | 1.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 80% | 2 | ✗ |
Jock Landale▼ | PRA | 14.5 | UNDER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 80% | 11 | ✓ |
Landale's recent 5-game PPG average of 5.8 sits well below this line, and his vs. Orlando career average of 6.75 PPG on minimal minutes suggests the sportsbook is overestimating his scoring upside. Carter Jr.'s defensive performance in prior matchups reinforces the under thesis.
| low |
| Ivica Zubac | 3 | 11 | 60% | +8.5% | medium |
| Defender | Games | Min | PTS | FG% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 3 | 9 | 7 | 50% | 58% |
| Goga Bitadze | 3 | 9 | 4 | 67% | 67% |
| Paolo Banchero | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22% | 22% |
| Desmond Bane | 4 | 1 | 2 | 50% | 50% |
| Franz Wagner | 3 | 1 | 5 | 40% | 50% |
Landale is averaging 5.8 PPG over last 5 games and just 6.75 PPG vs. Orlando. Reduced minutes (16 MPG recent vs 22.4 season) and Wendell Carter Jr.'s strong defense limit upside.
Recent 5-game rebound average of 2.6 is significantly below season 5.9. vs. Orlando matchup shows only 3.25 RPG on limited 14.6 minutes played.
Season assist mean is 1.58; recent 5-game mean dropped to 1.0. Reduced playing time naturally limits assist opportunities in a bench role.
Combined scoring, rebounding, and assists decline significantly in recent stretch. Last 5 games average ~9.4 combined across these three categories.