SF
Noah Penda▼
ORL · SF
PPG
4.4
RPG
3.8
APG
1.2
L5 PPG
3.8
Last 5 GamesPTS
Season vs Last 5
Season Last 5
PPG-0.6
4.4
3.8
RPG+0.4
3.8
4.2
APG+0.8
1.2
2.0
UNDER 5.5 PTS
Last 5 games
1
Current Streak
1
Longest Streak
OVER
Streak Type
5.5
0
MIN
2026-03-07
2026-03-07 vs MIN: 0 pts
8
MIL
2026-03-08
2026-03-08 vs MIL: 8 pts
4
CLE
2026-03-11
2026-03-11 vs CLE: 4 pts
0
WAS
2026-03-12
2026-03-12 vs WAS: 0 pts
7
MIA
2026-03-14
2026-03-14 vs MIA: 7 pts
Over 5.5
Under 5.5
Last 5 games
Prop Confidence
PTS
UNDER 5.5
68%
REB
UNDER 4.5
62%
AST
OVER 0.5
70%
PRA
UNDER 9.5
65%
vs ??? (H2H)1 games
PPG
4.0
RPG
2.0
APG
0.0
Defensive Matchup Profile
Top Defenders This Season
| Defender | Games | Min | eFG% | vs Season | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 1 | 9 | 100% | +43.6% | low |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 2 | 6 | 33% | -17.5% | low |
| Cam Thomas | 4 | 6 | 44% | -2.2% | medium |
| CJ McCollum | 3 | 5 | 50% |
Penda Struggles in Downtrend Despite Back-to-Back Opportunity
Noah Penda is in a clear statistical decline, averaging just 2.8 PPG over his last 10 games compared to 4.4 for the season, while his recent form shows inconsistency with three scoreless or near-scoreless outings. Playing on a back-to-back, he typically benefits from increased usage (6.71 PPG b2b average), but Atlanta's defense ranks solidly with a 116.63 defensive rating and 30.3% scoring suppression. His limited sample against the Hawks (1 game, 2 minutes) provides minimal predictive value, though his away splits (5.39 PPG) are notably better than home splits (2.82 PPG).
Stat Trends
PPG
3.8(↓ from 4.4)
Last 10 PPG
2.8(↓ from 4.4)
Rebounds
4.2(→ from 3.8)
Away PPG
5.4(↑ from 4.4)
Key Matchup
Limited defender matchup data available from previous meeting. Atlanta's overall defensive scheme (116.63 rating, 30.3% scoring suppression) presents a moderate challenge, though Penda's away splits (5.39 PPG) suggest he performs better on the road than his season average.
Prop Analysis
| Player | Prop | Line | Pick | Confidence | ML | Trend | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noah Penda▼ | Points | 5.5 | UNDER | 68%MEDIUM | 2/2 | 60% | 2 | ✓ |
Noah Penda▼ | Rebounds | 4.5 | UNDER | 62%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 1 | ✓ |
Noah Penda▼ | Assists | 0.5 | OVER | 70%HIGH | 2/2 | 100% | 1 | ✓ |
Noah Penda▼ | PRA | 9.5 | UNDER | 65%MEDIUM | 1/2 | 60% | 4 | ✓ |
ML Scout Analysis
PTS4UNDER18%gbt_pointsDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x4/1136%▼
P+R7.5UNDER0%gbt_prDecent Leg (12/20)UNDER 2x5/1146%▼
3PA2UNDER42%gbtWeak Leg (11/20)4/1136%▼
P+A5.5UNDER0%gbt_paWeak Leg (11/20)UNDER 2x4/1136%▼
REB3UNDER23%gbt_reboundsWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 7x4/1136%Confidence moved LOW to MEDIUM▼
PRA8UNDER12%gbt_praWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 2x4/1136%▼
R+A5UNDER0%gbt_raWeak Leg (10/20)UNDER 7x3/1127%▼
AST1UNDER6%gbt_assistsWeak Leg (9/20)5/1146%Prediction flipped OVER to UNDER▼
Featured Pick
Noah Penda
Assists OVER 0.5MEDIUM
Penda's season assist average of 1.16 APG and recent 1.2 APG both comfortably exceed this low line. Back-to-back games inflate his recent APG to 2.29, providing a favorable floor. Even in decline, he's unlikely to fall below 0.5 assists given his role and usage.
This analysis is for informational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial or gambling advice. Always gamble responsibly.